Psychology, are you sure?

another thing I'd like to add that maybe doesn't have much to do with trading...

imagine how a supercomputer (aka deep blue) was defeated by the world's top chess player. it's amazing how intuitive psychology and the human mind can be. it was only after deep blue was given so many software updates and given feedback from many others that it was able to beat the world's top chess player.

can deep blue beat the world's top chess player by itself? coming from a software background... i don't think systems are up to that level yet.
 
Quote from jalee25:

another thing I'd like to add that maybe doesn't have much to do with trading...

imagine how a supercomputer (aka deep blue) was defeated by the world's top chess player. it's amazing how intuitive psychology and the human mind can be. it was only after deep blue was given so many software updates and given feedback from many others that it was able to beat the world's top chess player.

can deep blue beat the world's top chess player by itself? coming from a software background... i don't think systems are up to that level yet.

Lol. No grandmaster can come anywhere near a win against a supercomputer. No psychology needed- just load the thing with every possibility and it works out the highest probability.

You need to Google that one (but don't tell anyone you didn't know as you come from a sw background). :)
 
Xpurt

Well someone has a short term memory problem

Here is the quote you disclaim making

"Like the OP said, you'll not find shrinks in successful trading rooms."

Clearly you endorse this statement, you typed it...

Simply put, you're wrong....Clearly there are skilled professionals who make a living consulting with all kinds of traders. Why this threatens you so much who knows and frankly (at least from my point of view) who cares?
 
Quote from UgoCerletti:

Xpurt

Well someone has a short term memory problem

Here is the quote you disclaim making

"Like the OP said, you'll not find shrinks in successful trading rooms."

Clearly you endorse this statement, you typed it...

Simply put, you're wrong....Clearly there are skilled professionals who make a living consulting with all kinds of traders. Why this threatens you so much who knows and frankly (at least from my point of view) who cares?

Ok let me put it another way to clarify my position. When the trade is being set up a shrink won't be in the trading room saying to the trader, that's the one - take it. Sure a shrink can have an after hours session, but I can't see him in the trading room during live trading having a real time input.

And I admit I could be wrong and believe me I'm not threatened by a shrink. But you don't seem to be too forthcoming to my repeated requests to tell me what specific help a shrink can offer a sharp trader. Are you feeling threatened lol?

Are you going to tell me about some ridiculous fluff job that has been scammed on to you, is that why you are you too threatened to say specifically how it has helped you?

If it has helped you it might help me and other traders here so are you going to put up or shut up?
 
Let's start the topic all over again. It could very well be that we all agree on everything, but get lost in semantics and terms.

Are we saying that we need a psychologist because we want to hurt ourselves and therefore make the wrong trades by self-sabotage? Because from my experience that is usually NOT the case. Self-sabotage is usually the wrong explanation for unprofitability, which is simply caused by not having a profitable method.

Psychology instead could be helpful in finding out WHY many of us are trading when we do not have a profitable method (and never had one).

My personal experience has been that I thought I needed to work on psychology because I thought I knew what was right and just didn't do it out of self-sabotage. But I was wrong. I was flattering myself by calling myself a "masochist" - I simply didn't have a profitable method.

I did not know what method was profitable, and therefore I lost simply because I was not sure about what worked (what entry, what stoploss, what takeprofit). Now that I know what works, the only psychology needed is in letting my automated trading system run. The same should apply to a discretionary trader who knows what method works - he should follow it, plain and simple. However with discretionary trading it does get more complicated because by definition it is "discretionary", and discretion means:
"the power or right to decide or act according to one's own judgment"

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/discretion

And when our judgement changes also our trading could change and stop being profitable. We should differentiate between these 3 groups of traders:

1) discretionary traders that were never consistently profitable for long periods of time (months) but who somehow, erroneously, think that it's due to psychological problems - it's wrong, you don't need a psychologist, as you're not profitable because you did not come up with a profitable method. You need to work harder on finding a profitable method.

2) discretionary traders that have been consistently profitable for long periods of time (months) and have stopped being profitable for psychological reasons (obviously, since their method worked). In this case the cause may be psychological (unless your method stopped working).

3) automated traders who have a profitable automated system and are not letting it run or are interfering with it - then you do need a psychologist. However it is unlikely, because even for an unstable guy like me it's very hard to not let your system run once you find out that the system makes money, whereas you lose money every time you trade discretionary.
 
Well Xpurt I don't understand the point of your comment.

As far as I can tell, we aren't related in any way, nor do we work together and clearly your not a neighbor of mine.....frankly I don't feel obligated to convince you of anything.

Furthermore, in this age of the Internet, one can make all the inquiries necessary to make an intelligent decision from the comfort of their office chair...If you have an interest, I suggest you take the reins and do some legwork on your own.

Good luck
Stevesbg
 
Quote from UgoCerletti:

Well Xpurt I don't understand the point of your comment.

As far as I can tell, we aren't related in any way, nor do we work together and clearly your not a neighbor of mine.....frankly I don't feel obligated to convince you of anything.

Furthermore, in this age of the Internet, one can make all the inquiries necessary to make an intelligent decision from the comfort of their office chair...If you have an interest, I suggest you take the reins and do some legwork on your own.

Good luck
Stevesbg

Like I said, when the trading starts, it's all fluff.

Stevesbg, I don't know if English is your 1st language because of your name, although your usage seems perfect. But just in case, I want to make clear I'm have a bit of "banter" - fun provocation that can provoke an interesting conclusion.

Don't take it personally, it is not aimed at you. If you or any shrink or anyone has benefited from "trading psychology" at an advanced trading level then I'd love to hear about it. Has anyone got any psychobabble that works in the trading room?

Convert me please :)
 
Quote from travis:

Let's start the topic all over again. It could very well be that we all agree on everything, but get lost in semantics and terms.


Travis

What I am about to say will probably piss you off…..,

And if you feel like lashing out at me – go for it – I understand


You have the most incongruent thought patterns of anyone I’ve ever come across Sir


I am not picking on you – only making an observation

Trading is only about one thing

How you go about that one thing, the semantics one uses, or anything/ everything else for that matter – is of absolutely no consequence

But that you do that one thing – is absolute

AND btw…. what this entire thread has been about…



No need to start over – you are either doing that one thing or not…..

If not then figure out why

Regards

RN
 
Quote from Xspurt:

Lol. No grandmaster can come anywhere near a win against a supercomputer. No psychology needed- just load the thing with every possibility and it works out the highest probability.

You need to Google that one (but don't tell anyone you didn't know as you come from a sw background). :)

Xspurt... i'm not sure if your name stands for ex-sport or expert... i hope the latter. the other thing i am not sure about is if you read what i wrote too fast or if you simply did not perceive what i was trying to convey. guess your psychology was a bit off.

what i meant was the project deep blue used to lose to some of the better grandmasters of chess. it was after so many minds put together to develop the strategies of probability that deep blue was finally able to beat the world's greatest chess player. not everyone has the luxury of a team of experience from world-class strategies, psychology, and supercomputing. no system can teach itself how to beat a grandmaster at chess. it took an entire team... to learn how to beat one mind consistently. that was my point.
 
Quote from jalee25:

Xspurt... i'm not sure if your name stands for ex-sport or expert... i hope the latter. the other thing i am not sure about is if you read what i wrote too fast or if you simply did not perceive what i was trying to convey. guess your psychology was a bit off.

what i meant was the project deep blue used to lose to some of the better grandmasters of chess. it was after so many minds put together to develop the strategies of probability that deep blue was finally able to beat the world's greatest chess player. not everyone has the luxury of a team of experience from world-class strategies, psychology, and supercomputing. no system can teach itself how to beat a grandmaster at chess. it took an entire team... to learn how to beat one mind consistently. that was my point.

LOL. You are quite right and shows what sleep deprivation does. One night I can lose and survive but two kills me off.
 
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