So what happens when his 80% win rate edge seizes to exist and no other edge can be established? Tomo is correct in stating that lack of knowledge + MM = death by a thousand cuts. But knowledge + MM = overall positive expectancy. Have you read the whole article?
Money management and psychology is what "gurus" bang on about to sell course because it is easy to define and give you a little video to watch or book to read about how if you only risk 2% you will never go bust and if you do its your own "psychology".. sign up to the next course to learn about psychology. Total B.S
I dont mean to come across arrogant because I am not, i am only too aware of how uncertain this industry is and how you have to always be vigilant. But makes me so frustrated when i see new traders/frustrated traders marching off down the "oh if i only had a risk:reward ratio of this, and only risk x% a trade I would be ok". No you wont. If you dont have an egde money management just means you lose money slower.
EXACTLY RIGHT"...That is the reason that most traders end up losers. They don’t allow for the possibility of a major string of losing trades." - extract from that article, spot on. Has, does and will happen to the vast majority in trading.
NO----Gurus sell high win rates and sure things--not prudent risk management.But Gurus sell money management and psychology because its easy money
NO---Money management IS the edge.If you don't have an edge, money management keeps you in the game until you find your edge.
Just as with Prudent Risk Management in trading, you do not have a full grasp of what is meant by Prudent Risk Management in racing.. A crash helmet is a very small portion of risk management. A stop is a very small portion of risk management.It's like saying the difference between a great racing driver and a mediocre one is his crash helmet. Yeah without a crash helmet you probably won't be around for long. But it's not going to decide whether you win races or not.
Your contention that gambling is an edge is rejected on it's face.I've seen guys make fortunes that take insane risks. Risking 10k to make 1k.