I'd wager that the author never traded in a pit.
Quote from ilikefox es:
Do you have an inkling of what a futures market is supposed to do?
Well, since you don't, let me help you. A futures market is about settling price for FUTURE settlement, a prediction of what future supply and demand will be. And, if people believe that there will be FUTURE supply constraints, it DOES affect how much people will pay for oil TODAY.
Today's supply and demand backdrop is only ONE component of what possible FUTURE supply/demand might be.
The same people that tell you all this nonsense about evil specs are usually the same people that tell you that if taxes are raised, it won't affect economic growth, that if the min wage is raise, it won't affect employment, and on and on and on. Complete rubbish.
Quote from Daal:
If you guys can't figure out there is a secular bull market in commodities perhaps you should consider another job, flipping burgers, walking dogs. analyzing markets is certainly not your forte
Quote from drsteph:
And, for the record, that's how commodities trade. Hardly smooth.
But nice to have an opportunity to sell out at higher levels and then get back in to ride 'em back up.
Quote from Eliot Hosewater:
You don't suppose any investment banks went straight from one of Uncle Ben's lending facilities over to the commodities market do you?
Quote from AAAintheBeltway:
Exactly. I'm convinced some of these guys have never traded anything. They certainly failed Econ 101. Price and demand do not have a linear relationship. If demand hasn't dropped, why is OPEC cutting quotas?