Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

If you guys check my previous posts in this thread, I have accurately predicted the June market decline.
Now I will make another call that will show how TA works.
Friday 7/15/2022 is the day equity starts a short term up trend.
It was the first day of an up trend. So how you profit ? Long spx, set a stop at Friday day low.
9 in10 chance the up trend will come true.
In the 1/10 chance it fails, you have stop to cut your loss.


SPX 3814 is stop.
 
You might want to know wmwmw, that SPX is an Index and is not an ETF. You cannot buy shares in SPX. So it is impossible to get "Long SPX" as you say and set a stop. That is why options on the SPX index are "cash settled at expiration". There is no underlying to be exercised.
 
You might want to know wmwmw, that SPX is an Index and is not an ETF. You cannot buy shares in SPX. So it is impossible to get "Long SPX" as you say and set a stop. That is why options on the SPX index are "cash settled at expiration". There is no underlying to be exercised.

I trade ES, not SPX.
The reason I use SPX is because overnight price is not valid.Only RTH price counts.
So you will need to trade ES which correspond to SPX.
SPX 3814 corresponds to ES 3816.
But if overnight ES breaks 3816, it doesn't make a break of support. You will need to wait tomorrow when SPX breaks 3814.
 
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Now I will make another call that will show how TA works.
Friday 7/15/2022 is the day equity starts a short term up trend.
It was the first day of an up trend.

OK, making "a call" does not explain how TA works. Show us your TA analysis that led you to this conclusion.
 
OK, making "a call" does not explain how TA works. Show us your TA analysis that led you to this conclusion.

It does.
The support and resistence level are price analysis, which is TA.
No FA can tell you that.
And nobody will give you a free holy grail.
 
It does.
The support and resistence level are price analysis, which is TA.
No FA can tell you that.
And nobody will give you a free holy grail.

I was not expecting this kind of answer especially your last sentence. So I will give the analysis that I expected you to give explaining the TA in this situation. See the chart below. You have a low on June 17 and a peak on June 28. After that you had 5 days that were spike down "pin bar" lows all in the area of the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June 17 low to June 28 high. Thus with the strong move up on Friday the 15th there is a TA expectation that this will support a move higher with a stop below the pin bar lows. That is your "holy grail" although you probably did not throw in the Fib analysis which most people on ET do not find a useful tool.

Screenshot (148).png
 
I was not expecting this kind of answer especially your last sentence. So I will give the analysis that I expected you to give explaining the TA in this situation. See the chart below. You have a low on June 17 and a peak on June 28. After that you had 5 days that were spike down "pin bar" lows all in the area of the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June 17 low to June 28 high. Thus with the strong move up on Friday the 15th there is a TA expectation that this will support a move higher with a stop below the pin bar lows. That is your "holy grail" although you probably did not throw in the Fib analysis which most people on ET do not find a useful tool.

View attachment 289642


That is what you call a holy grail?
That is garbage.
That garbage is one thousand miles from a winning system, no to say a holy grail.
Out of 10 thousands winning systems, only one can be called a holy grail.

My system has nothing in common with any public known TA tools.
 
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Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

Kudos to those traders that posted material to help the OP.

I developed a very simple method that gleans at least 30+
ticks a day, but it does not use TA.
I've already shared it on this Forum.
But, I'd like to share other methods that use technical
analysis that consistently earn more than 30 ticks.

I use all of them, especially when my own is
in the losing column. :)

You'll have to grind it out, but you can earn
50 to 100 ticks/day for NQ, ES and YM.
https://apexinvesting.net/
Join their Elite Trading room as they call
out trades every day.

Most will not believe the results of this
system until they use it for themselves.
200 to 300 ticks a day for CL, Gold, NQ, ES, YM and
Bitcoin. (Yes, that's 200+ ticks PER INSTRUMENT)
Creator is David Kuvelas
https://oiltradingacademy.com

OK, I confess, I use David's material every day
simply because it works.

Just one caveat: NEVER allow any naysayers stop
you from reaching the next level. At the end of the day
the only thing that matters is your bank account..PERIOD.

To your continued trading success.
 
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