Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

Here is a helpful chart. Questions to the noobs, what phase are we are in right now as of 5/28/22?


My entry was to short at SPX 4229 on 5/18/2022, cover at 3947 on 5/23; Short again at 3905 on 5/24, cover and go long at 3960 on 5/25,Hold long till now.
It doesn't need to guess what phase it is. It just goes with the trend.
 
Here is a helpful chart. Questions to the noobs, what phase are we are in right now as of 5/28/22?

This is something (the question) to send directly to the OP via private message to see if he can answer correctly...

They then will ask for the science so that they can verify themself.

You then post the following to help them to determine the phase of a market even though the chart is very clear when someone compares it to current price action on the same timeframe...

accumulation-distribution-equation.png


It would determine if the person merits having an in-depth conversation about your TA assuming the chart relates to a concept in your TA. In reality, most will say the above is just gibberish and will accuse you of hiding the truth that TA is too complicated. :D

You then respond with a link to the Accumulation/Distribution Index calculation...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulation/distribution_index

It will not resolve anything nor encourage them to do their own research into the chart that you just posted because they want to be spoon-fed every single detail to them while they remain anonymous.

wrbtrader
 
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MACD works for entry direction and limited continuation.
Forecasting future market conditions and what to use for decision points is like forecasting the weather.
 
I'm probably the worst trader on elitetrader or even the whole internet!
By 'worst' i don't necessarily mean that i'll get it wrong every single time and lose money on 100% of my trades, but I mean that i've been straring at charts for 12 hours per day and trying to find an edge and tested stuff and live traded and demo traded for about 11 years now. (also bought courses etc of course)

11 years. Full time. 12 hours days. Trying to learn to trade and still not yet profitable

I'd began to assume TA was most definitely just nonsense (i began thinking that about 5 years in) although in recent years i did find some people who can prove without doubt that they make very good money and they apparently do actually rely on TA to do so

Please delete this post,it's gonna depress and discourage new traders.LOL. 11 years,12 hours a day,full time? In approximately the same amount of time(11 years) Kristjan Kullamagi took a 10k account to 100mm plus. Mostly breakout trades and parabolic shorting. He seems to use a 50/50 mix of TA and FA.
 
Umm ... helps to know what is and isn't in order to determine if it works nor not. That is TA.

Tell that to the experts in this thread that say : "Indicators are not TA, they are ´price analysis´" "TA is market analysis". I don't care at all in case you wanted to school me.
 
Will Rogers said;

"Don't gamble; take all your savings and buy some good stock and hold it till it goes up, then sell it.

If it don't go up, don't buy it". I added; "If it goes down get rid of it".

I swing trade individual stocks.

I don't look at fundamentals or care what the company does.

I scan for stocks making new highs.

I prefer stocks that are breaking out of a consolidation.

I use money management (Usually risk less than 1% of capital)

I use risk management. (Tight stops)

I make money year over year and have managed to sit out the big drops in 2008 and 2020.

If that's TA it works for me.
 
Tell that to the experts in this thread that say : "Indicators are not TA, they are ´price analysis´" "TA is market analysis". I don't care at all in case you wanted to school me.

Indicators are a measure of price. Technical analysis is the study of stockcharts. Apples to oranges comparison. It will never work because two people looking at two different things. One other problem is those studying technical analysis include, indicators in their study of stockcharts. If the indicators fail and most times it fails, they say technical analysis does not work. They have added complexity and noise to the stockchart then, blame technical analysis as the problem. It is all because of a lack of understanding of how the parts make up the whole.
 
I refuse to believe that a line on a chart can explain the entirety of a company. It defies rationality and logic. Not to mention that NOBODY notable has gotten super rich off of TA. On the other hand, fundamentals have made several people rich (Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Bill Ackman, Carl Icahn, etc.).

Please explain to me, with logic, how TA is supposed to work.

I don't care if it's the VWAP or a moving average, just explain to me how a line on a chart will predict anything beyond a vague guess.
.

Hi TazTheLaz,

Please consider reading the following books. I believe they will open your mind to the possibility that TA can be and is being used by some individuals to become wealthy.

Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders – Jack Schwager
The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America’s Top Traders – Jack Schwager
Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street’s Champion Day Trader - Martin Schwartz
Trading Sardines – Linda Bradford Raschke
Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard… - Mark Minervini
Simple Techniques That Beat the Market… – Brandon Kioseff
Trade Like a Casino – Richard Weissman
 
I refuse to believe that a line on a chart can explain the entirety of a company. It defies rationality and logic. Not to mention that NOBODY notable has gotten super rich off of TA. On the other hand, fundamentals have made several people rich (Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Bill Ackman, Carl Icahn, etc.).

Please explain to me, with logic, how TA is supposed to work.

I don't care if it's the VWAP or a moving average, just explain to me how a line on a chart will predict anything beyond a vague guess.
Hello TazTheLaz,

https://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c3hU2KVr9LV

here my account. And see, that is not even enough to prove it TA works.

I believe that is what is you looking for. Check back with me in a year from now to see how it goes.
 
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