Market is a beast.
1. Each time is unique.
2. Anything can happen.
3. Sometimes luck can help.
4. Wins and losses are random at best. Because we can't tell which bet is a winner.
5. Edge is very illusive. Casinos definitely have an edge over gamblers.
1. Anyone who agrees with this is definitely on the losing side of trading. I been trading for forty years, there is only one time I have seen closure of an exchange(s) longer than a day otherwise I have seen patterns that I have seen again and again, CBOT closed down once for a day when river waters entered the basement of their building. So each time is unique is false.
2. Oh, I guess you think all of this is random type of person? Markets are controlled till they not controlled. You think exchanges were made for small volume traders? There are very very few traders that come from retail and stay retail if they want to become more than "making a living".
3. "Luck"? this is for those who can't trade.
4. Any trade is 50/50 in theory, but we don't trade theories, you work very long hours testing and retesting if you want to get beyond "making a living" or find the markets a challenge as a test of thyself to get better. Risk management and knowledge can change the percentages hugely.
5. "Edge" is not one idea, it is a mixture of tested areas and then blended together to make one Trading plan. Casinos make rules that give them the edge unlike trading except for fees the game is 50/50, why do you think Casinos went from one-two decks shoes in Blackjack to 6-8 deck shoes cause guys like me could count cards when they had 1-2 deck shoes and knew when odds shifted to the player.
No one is going to give away anything valuable.
Trading edges are developed through extreme hard work over many years of real trading and research. No one is going to give that away on an internet message board.
I disagree, I have received some 2 dozen PMs by guys or couples that taken some of my charts and piecing it together to form their own systems or I given the final piece they were missing, one couple been trading my long term system for handful of years, another found how I trade options to add, and in my case, someone might offer the tiniest insight and I have ran with it. I have said before, I could give out "edges" and most people think it won't work cause this is a forum. LOL