Probability Theory?

Hello
Can anyone advice me for a good book if I want to learn PROBABILITY THEORY?
I really need a basic education book because I have never been good at mathematics, I mean... I really suck at this, so please I don’t need a university book that I don’t now how to read…only a basic book to start with.

Thanks
Simon
 
Quote from simonee:

Hello
Can anyone advice me for a good book if I want to learn PROBABILITY THEORY?
I really need a basic education book because I have never been good at mathematics.
Chance by Amir D. Aczel. Very simple, but a nice starter and it will point you to other, more advanced books on the topic. Chance is published by Thunder's Mouth Press.

Good read!
 
I think what you want to understand in a trading context is STATISTICS and statistical inference. To calculate a priori probability you need to know the selection rules for a physical system, which, alas, we are not gifted with in trading. However, one of the first things you undoubtedly will learn is "tests" of the probability that a particular statistical result is not the result of pure chance. A dirty little secret about trading inference is that in fact you need to know the probability that THAT probability is not due to chance, hahahaha!
 
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