Probability of a stock to follow a specific pathway

[destriero]

Listen sonny boy, I have read over 400 trading books during the last 20 years, and I continue to read new ones every month (not to mention my subscriptions to trading magazines and newspapers such as Stocks and Commodities, Futures, Investor's business daily, Barron's, etc...), so enough with the condescending attitude, alright?

lol and you'll admit to that?

 

[destriero]

you can’t even trade this structure can you?

It's all the same, isn't it?

dafuq, Mate.

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/tradex-forex-journal.345872/page-3#post-5121944

@Tradex for the win. Just stop.

 

[newwurldmn]

Listen sonny boy, I have read over 400 trading books during the last 20 years, and I continue to read new ones every month (not to mention my subscriptions to trading magazines and newspapers such as Stocks and Commodities, Futures, Investor's business daily, Barron's, etc...), so enough with the condescending attitude, alright?

It’s not condescending at all. You had two signals that put you into a position where you had no signal and didn’t realize it.

You are postulating on an exotic derivative without understanding all the implications of black scholes (for example it doesn’t actually rely on the assumption of log normal returns).

But that’s your choice if you know everything because you read 20 trading books a year. Somehow they all missed triangular arbitrage.

 

[destriero]

Uh oh, he broke out the "sonny boy"

Yes, but again, so what?

Can you answer that simple question without your usual sarcasm and your "I am better than you" childish attitude?



Yeah, right.

Listen, sonny boy, I studied triangular arb in the currency market before you were even born, and I read "Triangular Arbitrage in the Foreign Exchange Market: Inefficiencies, Technology, and Investment Opportunities" more than 20 years ago, among other books.

So don't come in here and try to teach us how triangular arb works.

 

[newwurldmn]

He never figured out that he had zero exposure to the original pair.

he had exposure to another pair that he had no signal in. So his trade generation model isn’t very robust.

 

[newwurldmn]

Listen sonny boy, I have read over 400 trading books during the last 20 years, and I continue to read new ones every month (not to mention my subscriptions to trading magazines and newspapers such as Stocks and Commodities, Futures, Investor's business daily, Barron's, etc...), so enough with the condescending attitude, alright?

Anyway. I actually think you are a decent guy. But I think you are missing some knowledge which can help you. But you disagree So good luck to you.

 

[destriero]

he had exposure to another pair that he had no signal in. So his trade generation model isn’t very robust.

God, I hate this place.

 

[traider]

Are we becoming a Wilmott board? That is so cool

 

[guru]

The original questions in this thread have a feel of perpetual student syndrome. I’ve seen lots of people asking pointless questions, studying them for months, then figuring out how useless they were, moving on, and finding new pointless topics to study and questions to ask. Just trade some actual options and learn practical stuff. Or derive the answers from historical data, which would also lead to practical findings.

 

[vegamedic]

Listen sonny boy, I have read over 400 trading books during the last 20 years

and yet here you are. absolutely embarrassing.