Price Action only Trading

Quote from ElectricSavant:

I have been practicing a method on the 1/2 hr. bars. It is just so hard to keep my eyes open. I am in the (mst) time zone and this method starts at the London open and goes into the next days session for the USA.

ElectricSavant

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This looks similar to my RAT REVERSALS!!


GREEN RAT REVERSAL - LONG ENTRY CRITERIA:
1) RED CANDLE CLOSES
2) GREEN CANDLE CLOSES
3) PRICE TOUCHES HIGH OF PREVIOUS GREEN CANDLE - ENTER LONG. STOP LOSS IS ALWAYS 10 PIPS.


RED RAT REVERSAL - SHORT ENTRY CRITERIA:
1) GREEN CANDLE CLOSES
2) RED CANDLE CLOSES
3) PRICE TOUCHES LOW OF PREVIOUS RED CANDLE - ENTER SHORT. STOP LOSS IS ALWAYS 10 PIPS.
 
I dropped the method a long time ago after a coder coded it for me and I discovered that it was a loser.

This is not a new method no matter what you call it...

eS


Quote from TheRumpledOne:

This looks similar to my RAT REVERSALS!!


GREEN RAT REVERSAL - LONG ENTRY CRITERIA:
1) RED CANDLE CLOSES
2) GREEN CANDLE CLOSES
3) PRICE TOUCHES HIGH OF PREVIOUS GREEN CANDLE - ENTER LONG. STOP LOSS IS ALWAYS 10 PIPS.


RED RAT REVERSAL - SHORT ENTRY CRITERIA:
1) GREEN CANDLE CLOSES
2) RED CANDLE CLOSES
3) PRICE TOUCHES LOW OF PREVIOUS RED CANDLE - ENTER SHORT. STOP LOSS IS ALWAYS 10 PIPS.
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Quote from TheRumpledOne:

ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT TRADING

* Price either goes up or down.
* No one knows what will happen next.
* Keep losses small and let winners run.
* POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.
* The reason you entered has no bearing on the outcome of your trade.
* You can control the size of your loss (skill) but you can't control the size of your win (luck).
* You need to know when to pick up your chips and cash them in.

Expectancy = (Probability of Win * Average Win) - (Probability of Loss * Average Loss)

You cannot control the probabilities of wining or losing.

You cannot control your average win size.

The only part of the equation of the equation that you can control is your average loss size.

PRICE ACTION

“Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist.” - H. Rearden

1) Price will either breakout of the high, low or both of the previous bar

2) Price will not breakout of the previous bar.

You cannot reduce it any further. Anything else complicates the issue.

ENTERING A TRADE

You either decide to:

1) Wait and do not enter a trade

2) Trade a breakout

3) Trade a reversal.

Those are your ONLY 3 options.

That is all you need to know about trading.
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Very cool post, I agree entirely. Most people over-complicate trading when you can really boil it down to what you have posted here. Cool
 
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