Quote from amitman:
Not only that I got wiped at this DB (small lose on short as I expected a break of the S which didn't happen) I didn't have the guts to go long at the higher low since my system didn't signal.
Hindsight, trully sorry not only it was a good DB it was a perfect dragon formation which is very powerful.
Arghh
Amitman, work on using the 3 bar entry and getting in at the pullback/turn, then be prepared to do something when price reaches the previous S/R area. Had you used a 3 bar entry, you would have had 2 full points of move to work with before prices stalled at that DB, plus you would have been in profit when prices bounced there and you could have covered for a point or more most likely.
You can trade break outs and get it right, but you almost always have to sweat it out and take draw downs. I used to try and trade the break outs and would have many winning days, but on my bad days, I always lost more than I would make on my good days combined due to the large stops needed.
This is just my personal opinion, but if you want to succeed in this business, get in early with smaller stops and then be prepared to jump at previous S/R areas if they hold, particularly on choppy days like today. The real battles are fought at the S/R areas, and you want to be on board with the winners of that battle.
I'll clarify this for honesty. I don't consider myself a proven expert at this stuff in any way, but I've been studying PA for over a year now and the last couple of months, I have really turned a corner.
What changed for me you might ask? I quit trading break outs and started trading pull backs only.... using 3 bar entries only in the beginning. Once I gained confidence, I started taking even earlier entries.
I might also clarify that I always trade two contracts, scalping 6 ticks, then going to BE immediately on the rest. I get it wrong some times, yet many times I still make my 6 ticks. Previously, I would hope and pray that my stop would not get hit when it looked like I was wrong. More often than not, it would. Now, if I think I'm wrong, I just cover, knowing that it's easier to make back a few ticks than it is to make back a full stop. That alone can change your bottom line.
I'm not even close to being a great trader, but the light has gone off for me and I'm getting it now. I only tell you this so you can get it faster than I did, so please don't take it the wrong way. It's meant to help.