Quote from bearmountain:
Thank you all for your replies. I am an old trader, but new to Price Action. So far I believe, I am getting pretty good at identifying trends and then buying/selling pullbacks within the trend.
I like to take the next step and start to trade range bound days as well. This is where I am running into difficulty. I am having a hard time objectively identifying 'Reversals'.
Someone mentioned that word again - confluence. So far what I have in my notes is S/R, trendline break, 2nd failed attempt to take out S/R. I guess I am having some difficulty with 'reversals' showing up on a dime without a build up.
I have attached a chart. This is by a Price Action trader who is suppose to be pretty good. I don't quite understand the first(10AM), second (11:15AM) and thrid (12:15PM) long trades. They all look very agressive. The price seems to reach S and a trade is initiated.
What are your thoughts? How would you have traded that day, based on S/R. Thanks for your time.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2004738
the blue horizontal lines I believe are S/R from the previous day.
First, you got to learn (understand) what
"tends" to cause reversals and I'll list a mixture of fundamental reasons and price action only reasons.
* Key Economic Report Release - don't worry about what's in the report...just keep track of the
time of the report release.
* Key FED Speeches - you know it will be important as in well watched by the markets if there's been hyped about the speech for a few trading days before the speech. Like the economic reports...only keep track of the time of the speech instead of its content.
* Opening and Closing times of other key markets (e.g. regular trading session closure of Eurex and U.S. Bond markets while the Eminis are still open).
* Breaking News that has impact on the price action of key markets "at the same time" (e.g. financial bank announcing bankruptcy).
* Gap Fills in your trading instrument or within a highly correlated trading instrument.
* Surprise earnings announcement result of a heavily weighted stock within the Index
* Volatility Breakouts (breakouts of contraction) - all the highlighted trade actions on that chart you posted involves Volatility Breakouts or withing the price action zone of a prior Volatility Breakout although the trader you know may be using something with a different name along with not noticing his method involves basic "contraction/expansion analysis"...price action on that chart are also in combo with other stuff I mentioned above.
A great way to trade by the way.
There's other reasons behind a "reversal", "swing point" or "reaction low/high" but the above is enough to keep anyone busy for the next 20 years.
Mark