Quote from sle:
I am not disputing your main point, which is (my understanding) that if you keep selling naked risk premium it will eventually catch up to you. It's true everywhere, in vol as well as in rates or credit. The market can and will stay irrational longer then you can stay solvent.
This, obviously, does not mean that you should never sell overpriced risk premiums. What it does mean that either you should sell them as part of some sort of relative value strategy (my preferred approach) or make sure that you can withstand the pain.
Right I'm not endorsing any strategy here to buy or sell premium. I usually only comment on these broad theories that are put out there that selling risk has some built in edge. Edge is a little harder to come by then that. LOL.
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