Ok, I'm in.
If Asia stays flat, and EU opens flat to down 3-5%, US opens flat to down 4% and holds there, until something major happens in Greece, Germany or GB.
Unless Obama recognizes the new systemic vulnerability today exposed and doesn't allow the markets to open at all.
In that case, US stays flat, and US banks run or not, flip a coin.
But something major will almost certainly happen in Greece, and Germany, and GB, and then again in the US in response.
In this case, the market will do the sum of whatever is possible between now and Monday, before tomorrow's close.
Simple, really, I do not understand what all the fuss is about.
