Prediction Based Trading

Table as attached.
 

Attachments

  • Screen Shot 2020-10-26 at 1.04.02 PM.png
    Screen Shot 2020-10-26 at 1.04.02 PM.png
    75.9 KB · Views: 23
Closed at 280.60. Would probably have held overnight had I not went all in. Jackpot!

Help me out here; near what time did you exit the trade?

If your exit was near real-time, QQQ didn't hit 280.60 until after-hours, and after your post. (It did hit that much earlier, but you're suppose to be making near-real-time calls, or they don't count.)

upload_2020-10-27_2-35-21.png

upload_2020-10-27_2-36-22.png

upload_2020-10-27_2-37-56.png
 
Last edited:
I'm going to go with this, for now, until we see if we can't get the issue cleared up, one way, or the other:
Code:
--------------------------------------------------
DIR.   INST  ENTRY    EXIT    RESULT
SHORT  AAPL  124.85   123.80  +
SHORT  CAT   169.10   168.13  +
LONG   SPY   342.58   343.50  +
LONG   BABA  310.00   307.40  -
SHORT  TWTR   49.95    48.65  +
LONG   QQQ   278.29
 
I'm going to go with this, for now, until we see if we can't get the issue cleared up, one way, or the other:
Code:
--------------------------------------------------
DIR.   INST  ENTRY    EXIT    RESULT
SHORT  AAPL  124.85   123.80  +
SHORT  CAT   169.10   168.13  +
LONG   SPY   342.58   343.50  +
LONG   BABA  310.00   307.40  -
SHORT  TWTR   49.95    48.65  +
LONG   QQQ   278.29

You are right. I closed it just after it went into ETH. Some options, like QQQ, trade 15 minutes after market close. I saw the ramp up and decided to hold onto the close. As we can see now, I should have held like my original plan... all trades will be ones of regret...
 
You are right. I closed it just after it went into ETH. Some options, like QQQ, trade 15 minutes after market close. I saw the ramp up and decided to hold onto the close. As we can see now, I should have held like my original plan... all trades will be ones of regret...
Ok. But even so, that doesn't explain where you got 280.60 from ... posted 2 mins. after the close?

Regardless, we agree that your QQQ Long call is still in play?
 
I believe I closed it around there
Unfortunately, (or fortunately, depending on how the QQQ's play out, and your corrective exit call), you still haven't made a proper exit call ... which you agreed to do, or it wouldn't count.

So, how say you? QQQ's still in play?
 
Ok. But even so, that doesn't explain where you got 280.60 from ... posted 2 mins. after the close?

Regardless, we agree that your QQQ Long call is still in play?

Looking at eth, just after close, the price did contain 280.60. If anything, I should be getting a higher price to close; I probably rounded down because I used options rather than a specific number on the underlying. I don't think it would be fair to count it as still held because we can see in hindsight that it worked out much better to hold. First after hours candle would be the candle that I selected in the image, which is just above 280.60 at lowest
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot_20201027-063330.png
    Screenshot_20201027-063330.png
    137.8 KB · Views: 12
Looking at eth, just after close, the price did contain 280.60. If anything, I should be getting a higher price to close; I probably rounded down because I used options rather than a specific number on the underlying. I don't think it would be fair to count it as still held because we can see in hindsight that it worked out much better to hold. First after hours candle would be the candle that I selected in the image, which is just above 280.60 at lowest
:thumbsup::fistbump:
Thanks for clarifying.

We agree.
 
Back
Top