Quote from Gaucho MM1:
aeliodon yeah, that's pretty much right
Dictionary.com Unabridged (v 1.1) - Cite This Source
an·tic·i·pa·tion /¿nˌtɪsəˈpeɪʃən/ Pronunciation Key - Show Spelled Pronunciation[an-tis-uh-pey-shuhn] Pronunciation Key - Show IPA Pronunciation
ânoun 1. the act of anticipating or the state of being anticipated.
2. realization in advance; foretaste.
3. expectation or hope.
4. previous notion; slight previous impression.
5. intuition, foreknowledge, or prescience.
6. Law. a premature withdrawal or assignment of money from a trust estate.
7. Music. a tone introduced in advance of its harmony so that it sounds against the preceding chord.
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[Origin: 1540â50; (< MF) < L anticipâtiôn- (s. of anticipâtiô), equiv. to anticipât(us) (ptp.; see anticipate) + -iôn- -ion]
Dictionary.com Unabridged (v 1.1) - Cite This Source
pre·dic·tion /prɪˈdɪkʃən/ Pronunciation Key - Show Spelled Pronunciation[pri-dik-shuhn] Pronunciation Key - Show IPA Pronunciation
ânoun 1. an act of predicting.
2. an instance of this; prophecy.
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[Origin: 1555â65; < L praedictiôn- (s. of praedictiô) a foretelling. See predict, -ion]
âSynonyms 2. forecast, augury, prognostication, divination, projection.
Dictionary.com Unabridged (v 1.1)
Based on the Random House Unabridged Dictionary, © Random House, Inc. 2006.
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........and when I first read the title of this thread, I thought, this'll be a bun-fight bout nothing.......and it came true.......
anticipating and predicting are part of the same make-up for this auction......the same activity that is misdiagnosed by the herd and correctly applied by the smart money........one goes in-hand with the other in the realms of making money otherwise; without prediction of income the auction would not exist.......stop over complicating and side-tracking........all that posturing........what for? that's the real question........
Just to keep it simple and brief.
I am looking at a log.
The log has columns on it.
I go down the log annotating in time.
The row I am filling in is the one that is in the present and has a time jotted at the left. The time is fairly close to what a box is showing with the time and the bar number for a 5 minute bar that is presently forming.
Above, on the log are past annotations.
I only fill in the annotations related to the present. And what I fill in on the left half of the chart is the data set I am obtaining from a visual sweep of the CRT display screens in an arc of 90 degrees where five screens are on display and not including a TV which is not in the arc.
The next column has room for a gross conclusion I get from the data set. For the sake of clarity one of two fillins is used. In longhand all spelled out they would be either "continue" or "change".
Skip going to the dictionary for a moment to find out what they mean. Let me tell you why I wrote them and how they can be used.
Continue means I am continuing to make money and that is the present staus of what the market is flowing to me. This is to say, in a word, all of my contracts are making money and the number of contracts is okay to have making money.
When I fill in the left side of the log as a data set from sensing screens I am emotional simply because I am doing a sensory thing and the fact is that all sensory processes have emotions associated with them. The three that are in my space are: support, comfort and confidence.
This goes on all day long, practically speaking.
I write an H in a column labelled action after I annotate the MODE column which is to the right of the data set. MODE is the column for the symbols for continuation and change.
I do 20 to 40 entries of "change" in the MODE column a day.
At each of these times, it turns out that above this row on the log and in various data set cells there are anotations of signals that have helped me get to the "change" symbol I have written into the MODE column.
For me, as I operate in NOW making a conclusion of "change" as the MODE for the row in NOW, all of the near past sequences have led to the present and my filling in the present row.
Relatively speaking, there are many annotations that have occurred in an order and they led up to "change" in the time called NOW.
I do not, as I fill in a row, think in terms of predicting. The rows ahead in the log is where things would be written to predict.
But lets look at the past and see if anything was written somewhere that could look like a prediction for this row that is NOW. All I find are signals that occurred on various rows which are different time rows.
You are perfectly well allowed to call those signals anything you want. Use your definitions above to help you come up with names that are choosable. You can rename them any time you want as well. Go for it.
What I am saying is that the market is sequential in nature and, therefore it allows me to see that I will be writing continue and change at different times as time passes. I do it to make money.
Either I am continuing to make money or I am at a change moment.
A change moment is defined in my dictionary. It is defined as a momnet in the present where I take an action with regard to my participation in the market.
I act.
I change sides of the market.
There are consequences and I do it in a way that is most effective and efficient.
Here is and example. I am holding 750 contracts of ES. I see T&S is running at 400 to 500 contract blocks and below. So I act in three moments about 15 to 20 seconds apart. 500, 500 and 500. I take 250 contracts of profits three times and I reverse in three partial moves and all of this is done at the same value of the market. At other times I would do things differently if T&S was telling me something else. This was a 40 second event overall.
if I had held for 10 or 20 minutes of the market's operation to do the 40 to 20 actions a day that I do, you can see the privce change over that period in my favor allows a segment of profits to be banked.
I am just being told by a data set to write change. When I write change I then act and fill in the other column with R instead of H, where R means reverse.
To the right on the log where each R appears there is some housekeeping done. It is shorthand stuff about contracts and a note of price. It is where I find out what happened to some extent. Quicky notations that do not involve more than what happened to a market order(s).
What I mostly see are sequences unfolding. each step of each element in the data set element columns reads down vertically and a sequence is unfolding. It is like troops advancing in columns and I am looking at the front. I fill in NOW and the MODE is concluded.
Change appears in MODE as a conclusion in NOW and I ACT to do R.
You can tell me what dictionary words are important and which parts of the word definition is at play for you. Cool.
My arrangement with the market is to be able to see it and to do what it tells me to do. It tells me in the present only and that is what I look at only. NOW is where trading takes place and ACTing takes place in the present as well.
The results are "unbelievable" and "anstonishing" according to the people who haven't been looking at the logs or prints. Others who are doing their logs in a similar way get similar results.
Have some good gauchoing. Do you ever drop the dictionary are you ride along?
