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Someone sent me this morning's "Steady Options" alert from Kim Klaiman. Kim was trading a partial cover of the 117P body strike of his five-lot TST Sep21 112/117/122 put fly. He showed a fill of 0.20 on five of the Sep21 117 puts.

The problem is that the five lot never hit the tape. The time and sales are shown below. I have sorted the T&S descending on time, exp, option, size, price (0.20). The 5-lot buy at 0.20 never took place.

Kim Klaiman is using Interactive Brokers' TWS Paper Trader front-end for at least a portion of his trading. The TLT Sep21 117P trade never hit the tape:
This deserves more publicity.
 
This deserves more publicity.


I think it does. A guy taking money under the illusion that he takes each trade? He's obviously emboldened to do this shit as he used the sim-account at the open. Anyone Googling Kim Klaiman will see this thread. $100 order and he's using sim?

Feel free to look at the T&S screenshots. All of the data is there covering the open.
 
Entered into this today:

Basically 20 SIG calendars @ $0.48. Vols are 89%/63%

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EDIT b/a spread was .20 x . 70 but got filled at $0.48 - 3 cents off the mid.
 
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Kohls announcing tomorrow morning and sold the following:

88% vols.

View attachment 190140

Attached is a chart of KSS with historical option metrics. Bring on the crush! I am astonished at the the difference of historical and implied volatilities as well as the rapid changes. There seems to be a lot of potential inefficiency to exploit. There are also some turning points in the underlying when option volumes or put to call ratio reaches extreme levels.
 
Did you snap that picture with your phone? haha. Historical vols are pretty calm here but the uncertainty of a retailer like Kohls is what gives the options the extra juice. To me 88% seems rich given current ranges and past earnings announcement. I went below the strike because retailers lately have been announcing good earnings but not good forecasts and Kohls ran up today. Methinks too much optimism into the earnings so a little sell off is due. I am going to put a limit order in right before the market opens to see if I can filled depending on what price I see on the pre-market.
 
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