Post your vol-trade here

Update 7/31

SOLD -1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 JUL 18 (EOM) /EWN8 2805/2800 PUT @1.50
SOLD -1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 JUL 18 (EOM) /EWN8 2820/2825 CALL @1.50

BOT +1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wednesday) (Wk1) /E1CQ8 2820/2815 PUT @2.10
BOT +1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wednesday) (Wk1) /E1CQ8 2805/2800 PUT @.75
BOT +1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wednesday) (Wk1) /E1CQ8 2820/2815 PUT @1.90
SOLD -1 VERTICAL /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wednesday) (Wk1) /E1CQ8 2830/2835 CALL @1.60
SOLD -1 /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wednesday) (Wk1) /E1CQ8 2790 PUT @.65

Straddle marked at 27

Hedging gains realized since trade: 474

P/L: -201

Current Greeks according to TOS:

View attachment 189292

Sold S1 it for 19.75. P/L with comms: -1,050

Hedging gains: 720

Net P/L: -330

Attribution by Greeks for S1:

Delta: -1,044
Gamma: 943
Vega: 226
Theta: -1,007
Unexplained: -155 which I attribute to a larger Theta loss

Now long S2 STRADDLE /ESU8 1/50 AUG 18 (Wk3) /EW3Q8 2810 CALL/PUT @45.75
 
@destriero

Look at this trade for me on MED. I did not put it on but recorded prices of Calendar before market closed since earnings are now and wanted to know if you have used cals with wider months to get bigger profit spread.. HUGE vol skew. Current stock price is middle slice. The other two are default 1 sigma ToS has. Purple line is snapshot today but I did not get a chance to load graph of modelling vol collapse which would push it up a lot.

upload_2018-8-2_16-8-43.png
 
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MED popped to $205 initially on the earnings news which is a huge jump but still in the profit zone I believe once I model the volatility drop. Going to do that now. This may be a helpful exercise for those playing along at home to see how vol skews and calendars work. As I write this last trade was 196 so the pop is coming back. here is the analyzer with vol decrease in 5% steps:

upload_2018-8-2_16-34-51.png


Even at $196 this position would profit nicely. Too bad was out and got back late (I am outside U.S. and in Central Time zone so forgot at 3:20pm market was already closed but posting this for educational purposes.).

If front vol comes to even 70% and MED is below $200 this is a good trade.
 
@destriero

Look at this trade for me on MED. I did not put it on but recorded prices of Calendar before market closed since earnings are now and wanted to know if you have used cals with wider months to get bigger profit spread.. HUGE vol skew. Current stock price is middle slice. The other two are default 1 sigma ToS has. Purple line is snapshot today but I did not get a chance to load graph of modelling vol collapse which would push it up a lot.

View attachment 189387

I typically go consecutive as the vols get hammered. I am shorting this here at 228.
 
vols came down but stock shot way past upper BE point. I would still hold for pullback and maybe sell SEPT puts against it to reduce debit. VOLS seem to drop down to 50-60% in front month. Will keep tracking even though not a filled trade. Was expecting $200 at the most on high end but lets see if this fades off after the pop.
 
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