Post your SPX 2020 predictions

greeneveryday said:
Almost zero chance....in my opinion. But I could be wrong. I cannot see any catalyst that put market corrected that much. Especially the Fed's agenda is as clear as water: Propping up this market.
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Virus could do it, goes wild swamps the health care system, without treatment being available much higher death rate, panic and everyone house bound.
 
Turveyd said:
Virus could do it, goes wild swamps the health care system, without treatment being available much higher death rate, panic and everyone house bound.
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The virus will be likely in control in a week or two... And nobody will remember it anymore. You have to understand this coronavirus is less virulent compared to SARS and the dead ratio js only what 2-3% compared to 20% from SARS.
Bottom line... I am not surprised if stocks are all time high again next week. Everything is back to usual. The coronavirus is overblown.
 
I think Spx would pullback to the 3000 range before ranging between 3400 to 3600 for the rest of the year. I think potential fiscal spending is getting overlooked especially when it comes to Infrastructure.
 
greeneveryday said:
The virus will be likely in control in a week or two... And nobody will remember it anymore. You have to understand this coronavirus is less virulent compared to SARS and the dead ratio js only what 2-3% compared to 20% from SARS.
Bottom line... I am not surprised if stocks are all time high again next week. Everything is back to usual. The coronavirus is overblown.
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Could go either way after all 2 weeks before symptoms and transferable, so in 2 weeks there could be 10x's the cases and wild and too late, then it depends on infection rate, could swamp health services hit 10%+ death rate easy.

Could in this early stage mutate again, low odds but it's possible.
 
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