Post Debate Buzz For Herman Cain

[Hello]

Quote from Ricter:

The assertion was made that blacks are underrepresented among republican congressmen. So how would answers to your questions help test that assertion?

Given the fact that 95% of black people voted for Obama, are black people really that under represented in the Republican party?

If black people make up 12% of the population, and only 5% of those black people are republicans that means that republicans should have 0.6% of black people represented within their party.

Black people have a choice of whether or not they want to support republicans or democrats, so who is infact making the choice to under-represent them? This is an example of Black people choosing not to support republicans not the other way around. Give me a break.

 

[Ricter]

Quote from Hello:

Given the fact that 95% of black people voted for Obama, are black people really that under represented in the Republican party?

If black people make up 12% of the population, and only 5% of those black people are republicans that means that republicans should have 0.6% of black people represented within their party.

Black people have a choice of whether or not they want to support republicans or democrats, so who is infact making the choice to under-represent them? This is an example of Black people choosing not to support republicans not the other way around. Give me a break.

Good reply to my first question, but not the question you quoted. Navin's questions are irrelevent to that one.

 

[tomdavis]

I was able to find some research on the subject of white voters' reactions to black candidates.

From the Washington Post - April 14, 2006:

"... white Republicans nationally are 25 percentage points more likely on average to vote for the Democratic senatorial candidate when the GOP hopeful is black, says economist Ebonya Washington of Yale University."

"But racially motivated crossover voting is not just a Republican phenomenon. Democrats also desert their party when its candidate is black, Washington found. In House races, white Democrats are 38 percentage points less likely to vote Democratic if their candidate is black. "

According to this research, white Democrats are more likely to desert their black candidates than are white Republicans.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/13/AR2006041301776.html

The original research paper can be found here: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=904344

 

[Scataphagos]

Quote from tomdavis:

"... People tend to vote along party lines. The fact is, Republicans rarely vote for Democrats no matter what color their skin may be. The same is true of Democrats.

Just goes to show you... the majority of Americans are non-thinking sheeple.... easily manipulated... with a lot of Homer Simpson in them.

 

[Navin Johnson]

Quote from Ricter:

The assertion was made that blacks are underrepresented among republican congressmen. So how would answers to your questions help test that assertion?

You ask a lot of questions, but, as usual, you have no answers. If you do not understand the relevance of the question, then you need more help than your just monthly government welfare check.

 

[Ricter]

Quote from Navin Johnson:

You ask a lot of questions, but, as usual, you have no answers...

I note that you can't answer the question.

 

[tomdavis]

The answer is "self-selection bias." Until the past few years, very few blacks (close to zero) chose to run as Republicans. If blacks choose not to run as Republicans, then the outcome is determined by candidate self-selection, not by voter's attitudes.

Self-selection bias is the "monkey in the wrench" for statisticians because it makes causality nearly impossible to determine. Therefore a different type of analysis is required.

A more logical analytical approach eliminates candidate self-selection bias and instead measures voter behavior, the results of which are summarized in my previous post.

Quote from Ricter:

I note that you can't answer the question.

 

[Hello]

Quote from Navin Johnson:

You ask a lot of questions, but, as usual, you have no answers. If you do not understand the relevance of the question, then you need more help than your just monthly government welfare check.

Tom davis and me already answered the question, problem solved....... dont worry about it.

 

[Ricter]

Quote from tomdavis:

The answer is "self-selection bias." Until the past few years, very few blacks (close to zero) chose to run as Republicans. If blacks choose not to run as Republicans, then the outcome is determined by candidate self-selection, not by voter's attitudes.

Self-selection is the "monkey in the wrench" for statisticians because it makes causality nearly impossible to determine. Therefore a different type of analysis is required.

A more logical analytical approach eliminates candidate self-selection bias and instead measures voter behavior, the results of which are summarized in my previous post.

Navin, thank the man.

I should also add that you could answer my question, saying "well technically, no, anwers to my questions would not answer your question, so it was useless for me to ask them without qualification (I'll hand you that out)."

 

[Navin Johnson]

Quote from Ricter:

I note that you can't answer the question.

You keep dodging the questions, bottom feeder.