Position trading calls and ideas

I have a bottom signal which says euro should have a continuation rally to the upside.
The signal used to have high accuracy in the past but the latest signal failed. So I am a little confused this time.
However, I just took a small long position at 1.10468.


My euro call is still valid. Because euro didn't break the bottom formed on 9/3/2019.
The idea is to enter the position at the time of the call, and set a stop beyond the bottom. If euro breaks bottom, I will take the loss, and the signal would be deemed failed. If it doesn't break the bottom, and the rally is coming, I will enjoy the rally with my position.
This time I didn't enter the position and hold to it. Because my last signal failed and I have a rule that if my signal fails, next time I will not trade on it until it works again.
 
They report 9/24 and I think it's going to sell off. $1163 right here... is a damn good short. Give it lots of room to the upside for a stop, because it likes to spike intra-day, but it should see sub-$1100 pretty soon. Before earnings.

$1129 this morning. ;)
 
This oil spike is messing up my calls.
Not only my euro call is messed up, I was very close to calling a bottom on 10 years T-note.
Now 10 years note is up big on oil spike today, interrupting its nature bottoming process.
Now I don't know whether its bottom process is completed.
Now I can only say 10 years note is very close to its bottom, and after bottom it will have a decent rally to upside. But I can't say if it has reached bottom yet.
 
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