EUR/USD is in a long-term downtrend and I'm short. Yesterday's shooting star candlestick gave me hope of more price falls to come. It has made a new weekly low, just one more in a series, the EMA's show no signs of reversing and price is failing to approach the weekly high.
Other EUR charts have also been bearish for so long with the possible exception of EUR/GBP, though that is down to Brexit-induced GBP selling, not any inherent EUR strength.
On fundamentals, the EUR is a consistently poorly managed currency servicing a weak and weakening economy in a politically troubled area. The USD has its issues but nothing like this.