Polling 2024
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Hillary Clinton's aggregate polling lead was 3.2 on election day 2016.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2016/trump-vs-clinton
Kamala Harris's current aggregate polling lead is 1.9.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
President Biden needed a 7.2 polling lead to beat Donald Trump in 2020.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden
Cornel West and Jill Stein are likely going to be a bigger problem than Democrats are anticipating.Jill Stein received 1.07 % of the vote in 2016.Cornel West and Jill Stein are currently polling at 1% each.
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/...nd-neck-among-muslim-american-voters-survey-0
US elections 2024: Jill Stein leads with Muslim-American voters in three swing states, survey shows
The Democratic and Green party candidates each command close to a third of the Muslim-American vote
Green Party candidate Jill Stein leads Kamala Harris among Muslim-American voters in the three key swing states of Michigan, Arizona and Wisconsin, according to a new poll.
Overall, Vice President Kamala Harris and Jill Stein are the leading candidates in this year’s presidential election among Muslim-American voters, according to data released by the Council on American Islamic Relations (Cair), the nation’s leading voice on Muslim civil liberties.
https://arabamericannews.com/2024/0...y-candidate-jill-stein-over-harris-and-trump/
Poll: American Muslims in Michigan prefer Green Party candidate Jill Stein over Harris and Trump
Posted: Saturday 09.14.2024 2:17 pm
The Arab American News
A new poll conducted by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) showed a surprising rise in popularity for Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein among Muslim voters in Michigan. The poll found that 40 percent of Muslim American voters in Michigan support Stein, compared to 18 percent for Republican candidate Donald Trump and 12 percent for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.
Its looking like 2016 all over again.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2016/trump-vs-clinton
Kamala Harris's current aggregate polling lead is 1.9.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
President Biden needed a 7.2 polling lead to beat Donald Trump in 2020.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden
Cornel West and Jill Stein are likely going to be a bigger problem than Democrats are anticipating.Jill Stein received 1.07 % of the vote in 2016.Cornel West and Jill Stein are currently polling at 1% each.
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/...nd-neck-among-muslim-american-voters-survey-0
US elections 2024: Jill Stein leads with Muslim-American voters in three swing states, survey shows
The Democratic and Green party candidates each command close to a third of the Muslim-American vote
Green Party candidate Jill Stein leads Kamala Harris among Muslim-American voters in the three key swing states of Michigan, Arizona and Wisconsin, according to a new poll.
Overall, Vice President Kamala Harris and Jill Stein are the leading candidates in this year’s presidential election among Muslim-American voters, according to data released by the Council on American Islamic Relations (Cair), the nation’s leading voice on Muslim civil liberties.
https://arabamericannews.com/2024/0...y-candidate-jill-stein-over-harris-and-trump/
Poll: American Muslims in Michigan prefer Green Party candidate Jill Stein over Harris and Trump
Posted: Saturday 09.14.2024 2:17 pm
A new poll conducted by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) showed a surprising rise in popularity for Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein among Muslim voters in Michigan. The poll found that 40 percent of Muslim American voters in Michigan support Stein, compared to 18 percent for Republican candidate Donald Trump and 12 percent for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.
Its looking like 2016 all over again.
Trump last chance was stock market crash. With rate cut we got not likely. Harris will indeed be our next POTUS.
NAACP poll shows 25% of black men under 50 are voting for Donald Trump.
Trump Suddenly Behind in Must-Win Pennsylvania, Four New Polls Show
As new high-quality polls show Kamala Harris ahead, a veteran Democratic operative from the Keystone State explains what the path to victory looks like—and what could still go wrong.
https://newrepublic.com/article/186...ind-must-win-pennsylvania-four-new-polls-show
As new high-quality polls show Kamala Harris ahead, a veteran Democratic operative from the Keystone State explains what the path to victory looks like—and what could still go wrong.
https://newrepublic.com/article/186...ind-must-win-pennsylvania-four-new-polls-show
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4891320-harris-debate-swing-state-polls/
Harris debate performance falls short of moving the needle in swing states
by Alex Gangitano - 09/21/24 5:00 PM ET
Vice President Harris was widely seen by voters as the clear winner of her debate against former President Trump, but that sentiment has failed to move the needle in key battleground states where the presidential nominees are still neck-and-neck heading into November.
Harris’s debate performance has been hailed in the nearly two weeks since it occurred, with voters in several surveys, including those conducted that evening, believing she is better at staying calm under pressure, more intelligent and has higher moral integrity than Trump.
But in the nearly two dozen polls conducted since the match-up, Harris’s slight lead over Trump nationally and in swing states grew by less than one percentage point and, in some states, Trump’s lead grew, albeit by razor-thin margins.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4889632-latest-polls-white-house-race/
5 takeaways from the latest flurry of Harris-Trump polls
by Niall Stanage - 09/20/24 6:00 AM ET
Trump has plenty of reasons for hope
Trump and his supporters need not be too disconsolate about the findings from the latest polls.
While overall there has been the appearance of a small trend toward Harris, it’s nowhere close to definitive. The debate, though it may have helped the vice president by 1 or 2 points, hasn’t come close to transforming the race.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released Thursday found the race to be tied nationwide among likely voters, with Trump up 1 point among all registered voters. A Fox News poll indicated Harris holds a narrow 2-point lead in both categories.
Team Trump can also take encouragement from several swing-state polls themselves, including a series from The Hill and Emerson College.
The Emerson polls have Trump up by 1 point in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, suggesting the former president could again demolish chunks of the Democrats’ “blue wall.” The Emerson polls also have Trump up by 3 points in Georgia and by 1 point in Arizona, both states that President Biden carried in 2020.
Meanwhile, a Marist poll in Pennsylvania has the race there exactly tied — quite a contrast from surveys from Quinnipiac University and the New York Times/Siena College that have Harris up by 5 points and 4 points, respectively.
Harris debate performance falls short of moving the needle in swing states
by Alex Gangitano - 09/21/24 5:00 PM ET
Vice President Harris was widely seen by voters as the clear winner of her debate against former President Trump, but that sentiment has failed to move the needle in key battleground states where the presidential nominees are still neck-and-neck heading into November.
Harris’s debate performance has been hailed in the nearly two weeks since it occurred, with voters in several surveys, including those conducted that evening, believing she is better at staying calm under pressure, more intelligent and has higher moral integrity than Trump.
But in the nearly two dozen polls conducted since the match-up, Harris’s slight lead over Trump nationally and in swing states grew by less than one percentage point and, in some states, Trump’s lead grew, albeit by razor-thin margins.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4889632-latest-polls-white-house-race/
5 takeaways from the latest flurry of Harris-Trump polls
by Niall Stanage - 09/20/24 6:00 AM ET
Trump has plenty of reasons for hope
Trump and his supporters need not be too disconsolate about the findings from the latest polls.
While overall there has been the appearance of a small trend toward Harris, it’s nowhere close to definitive. The debate, though it may have helped the vice president by 1 or 2 points, hasn’t come close to transforming the race.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released Thursday found the race to be tied nationwide among likely voters, with Trump up 1 point among all registered voters. A Fox News poll indicated Harris holds a narrow 2-point lead in both categories.
Team Trump can also take encouragement from several swing-state polls themselves, including a series from The Hill and Emerson College.
The Emerson polls have Trump up by 1 point in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, suggesting the former president could again demolish chunks of the Democrats’ “blue wall.” The Emerson polls also have Trump up by 3 points in Georgia and by 1 point in Arizona, both states that President Biden carried in 2020.
Meanwhile, a Marist poll in Pennsylvania has the race there exactly tied — quite a contrast from surveys from Quinnipiac University and the New York Times/Siena College that have Harris up by 5 points and 4 points, respectively.
After newly released polls Kamala Harris's real clear politics average lead is 2.2. That is 1 point lower than Hillary Clinton's election day lead in 2016 and 5 points lower than Joe Biden's election day lead in 2020.
In real clear politics state polling Kamala Harris has a 14 vote electoral college lead.Joe Biden's election day electoral college lead was 100.
Donald Trump outperformed real clear politics average in the last 2 elections,by 2.5 points in 2016 and 2.9 points in 2020.
Donald Trump outperformed real clear politics average electoral map in the last 2 elections,by a net 71 electoral votes in 2016 and a net 26 electoral votes in 2020.
The last 3 presidential elections Democrats won they had to win the popular by over 4 points,by 7 points in 2008,4 points in 2012 and 4 points in 2020. I think its very unlikely Kamala Harris will win the popular vote by 4 points.Her polling average lead is only 2.2 and Trump outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020. Stein and West are polling at a combined 2 points,all their votes will come from left wing voters,many from those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020. For the first time ever the Green Party candidate is leading the Democrat with Arab voters in many in critical swing states with significant Arab populations like Michigan,Wisconsin and Arizona. That is likely to be devastating to Kamala Harris in those states.
In real clear politics state polling Kamala Harris has a 14 vote electoral college lead.Joe Biden's election day electoral college lead was 100.
Donald Trump outperformed real clear politics average in the last 2 elections,by 2.5 points in 2016 and 2.9 points in 2020.
Donald Trump outperformed real clear politics average electoral map in the last 2 elections,by a net 71 electoral votes in 2016 and a net 26 electoral votes in 2020.
The last 3 presidential elections Democrats won they had to win the popular by over 4 points,by 7 points in 2008,4 points in 2012 and 4 points in 2020. I think its very unlikely Kamala Harris will win the popular vote by 4 points.Her polling average lead is only 2.2 and Trump outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020. Stein and West are polling at a combined 2 points,all their votes will come from left wing voters,many from those who voted for Joe Biden in 2020. For the first time ever the Green Party candidate is leading the Democrat with Arab voters in many in critical swing states with significant Arab populations like Michigan,Wisconsin and Arizona. That is likely to be devastating to Kamala Harris in those states.