When I saw the headlines proclaim that Geithner caused the decline at 11 am when he started to talk, I found that hard to believe. That evening, I went looking to see that in the charts.
You see, I had been following oil (my current fixation) all day and noticed the TSX drop when oil dropped and the slide continued into the day. My position was starting to pay!
Now... I've concluded that any stock index play is partially a play on oil. Prior to this, somewhat reluctantly feeling it wasn't a diverse play, I bought TSX based on my conclusion that Oil would break $40 once and for all (that is for this month). If oil took yet another spike up, I'd be losing on two fronts.
Yes... TSX is heavy in energy and mining but oddly every other exchange went in sync.
In my view the oil bulls have sustained the market in that range their belief that a bounce is immenent. I never bought that rational.
Now the contrary argument is that the upturned markets sustained oil. I disagree.
I have observed some measure of disconnection between falling oil and the markets but not enough to convince me that Geithner is the boogy man in this event.
Now that I've posted my opinion, I'll go on to see what everyone else says.
Eric