Whatever happens this summer is just weather. If the world sets new record highs the global warming alarmists are still going to be ignored.
They can argue about how the temperature needs to be "corrected", but they can't walk away from all the stupid stuff they've put out over the years.
The fact is that it's 2015. CO2 is at all time (modern) highs. The world's port cities are still habitable. Children in England still own sleds. The latest analysis shows that cold weather is far more dangerous for humans than warm. Estimates of climate sensitivity in the peer reviewed literature keep dropping.
So there's no immediate reason to worry about the temperature. Futurecurrent might argue that like the frog in the pot, we're being slowly boiled but the fact is that (despite all the hand wringing from the alarmists about crops) the world's farmers keep setting new records for food production. Humans are doing just fine.
As a matter of local politics, the anti-CO2 folks have lost almost completely. Rather than argue about the details of each individual country, let me simply point out the CO2 emissions have set new all-time records every year. The best thing a recent alarmist article could say about this fact was that the rate of increase was slowing down recently and in 2013 was "only" an increase of 2% over 2012.
As a matter of great power diplomacy, a reduction in CO2 emissions would require cooperation among the great powers. At the very least, that would have to include, the US, Europe, Russia, China and India. But these countries are each arguing that the others should be the ones cutting emissions. For them to negotiate a real reduction in CO2 emissions would require a huge amount of good relations that simply do not exist. The Russians talk publicly about nuking Europe and the US over the Ukraine sanctions. The US just accused China of stealing personal information for spying purposes and regularly accuses Russia of harboring credit card fraudsters.
India and China tell the developed world that since they were not the countries that created most of the present CO2 levels they should not be the ones that have to cut back on emissions. The world has something like 1200 coal burning power plants in planning with 3/4 in India and China. And the best argument that the CO2 alarmists can come up with is that they shouldn't be built because the Indians and Chinese do not deserve to have western industrial wealth, LOL. Yeah, that's gonna work.
Meanwhile, the technology of getting fossil fuels continues to improve. Fracking has been applied to only a small portion of the US but it's already turned the US into the world's largest oil producer. Oil production is so high that GS suggests that prices will drop to $30 per barrel. The "peak oil" they talked about in the 1970s keeps getting postponed into the future. When the oil finally does run out, it's pretty easy to predict that the humans will start converting coal into the markets currently supplied with oil. And that's enough fossil fuels for hundreds of years. It's hard to imagine that CO2 levels will quit rising anything short of twice the present levels.
They can argue about how the temperature needs to be "corrected", but they can't walk away from all the stupid stuff they've put out over the years.
The fact is that it's 2015. CO2 is at all time (modern) highs. The world's port cities are still habitable. Children in England still own sleds. The latest analysis shows that cold weather is far more dangerous for humans than warm. Estimates of climate sensitivity in the peer reviewed literature keep dropping.
So there's no immediate reason to worry about the temperature. Futurecurrent might argue that like the frog in the pot, we're being slowly boiled but the fact is that (despite all the hand wringing from the alarmists about crops) the world's farmers keep setting new records for food production. Humans are doing just fine.
As a matter of local politics, the anti-CO2 folks have lost almost completely. Rather than argue about the details of each individual country, let me simply point out the CO2 emissions have set new all-time records every year. The best thing a recent alarmist article could say about this fact was that the rate of increase was slowing down recently and in 2013 was "only" an increase of 2% over 2012.
As a matter of great power diplomacy, a reduction in CO2 emissions would require cooperation among the great powers. At the very least, that would have to include, the US, Europe, Russia, China and India. But these countries are each arguing that the others should be the ones cutting emissions. For them to negotiate a real reduction in CO2 emissions would require a huge amount of good relations that simply do not exist. The Russians talk publicly about nuking Europe and the US over the Ukraine sanctions. The US just accused China of stealing personal information for spying purposes and regularly accuses Russia of harboring credit card fraudsters.
India and China tell the developed world that since they were not the countries that created most of the present CO2 levels they should not be the ones that have to cut back on emissions. The world has something like 1200 coal burning power plants in planning with 3/4 in India and China. And the best argument that the CO2 alarmists can come up with is that they shouldn't be built because the Indians and Chinese do not deserve to have western industrial wealth, LOL. Yeah, that's gonna work.
Meanwhile, the technology of getting fossil fuels continues to improve. Fracking has been applied to only a small portion of the US but it's already turned the US into the world's largest oil producer. Oil production is so high that GS suggests that prices will drop to $30 per barrel. The "peak oil" they talked about in the 1970s keeps getting postponed into the future. When the oil finally does run out, it's pretty easy to predict that the humans will start converting coal into the markets currently supplied with oil. And that's enough fossil fuels for hundreds of years. It's hard to imagine that CO2 levels will quit rising anything short of twice the present levels.
