you probably won't like this answer but...
....I think you're going to see very poor xmas sales of -any- trinkets.
my guess is that $10 chinese knockoff iPods will be about the only thing selling.
nearer term; my assessment of the markets tells me there is quite a strong downdraft coming within the next 1-30 days.
I'm fully short the broads as of today; and long oils and pm's; altho I did take 10% off today at the afternoon peak in both. I still think there's more upside to come in those two; but I had excellent profit from getting in 3-5 weeks ago; and wanted to turn some of it back to cash. Oil looks like it wants to tap 60 on this run...
further, cycle-timing wise, this is a top for PLMO on the weekly chart...and volume has been pretty pathetic through the "rally" of the past few weeks.
my near-term target (1-30 days) for PLMO is around 20.
alternative scenario: 9000 hedge-funds all pick PLMO to pile in on at once...
in that case, it goes to 40 of course...
best of luck!