Quote from marketsurfer:
The problem with fixed systems and fixed rules for trading is that the market is constantly changing. What worked today, may not work tomorrow despite the claims of those who refuse to be tested in public. Stay flexible and change with the market for best results. surf
The fact that "what worked today, may not work tomorrow" is absolutely irrelevant to the price action trader because price action trading methods have been working for as long as there have been liquid markets and once you have defined rules for trading a positive expectancy system that's been tested through varying market conditions (trend, strong trend, wide and narrow ranges), it will continue to work
over time, meaning yesterday's, today's, and tomorrow's results may easily be randomly distributed outcomes that have no bearing on the larger result we care about.
Though I've honed my trading plan to improve entries and reduce the size of stop losses, the core plan is still in place. I've been trading the same core strategy I initially defined in the summer of 2010, and it's worked all that time, through high and low volatility, trend and range.
This morning my first four trades were failures, two of them full losers, the other two allowed me the chance to get out break even, but may not have, meaning I could easily have had four back-to-back losing trades. My brain said, "Oh no, you've lost your edge, it's just like they kept saying on ET, edges don't last, it's over, you have to figure out what's wrong, before you know it you'll be homeless and forced to beg Surf for a place to live..." (OK, maybe not that last part.)
My initial inclination was to stop trading and figure out what was "wrong". That's our human nature. But thank God for folks like Geez and Ammo who taught me via their consistent daily trading in public view what it means to have a system with rules, and to exercise a trader's mindset.
I did some deep breathing to regain my focus and shut off that brain babble, and then continued to trade my plan without any changes for what turned out to be a nicely profitable day, with only one other losing trade.
Surf, can you provide some examples of when the market changed in such a way that "textbook" technical price action setups no longer worked for day traders and very short term swing traders (2-7 day swings)?