Please help a struggling Index trader

Quote from Smeagol1996:

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I had piece of mind since no matter what the market did that session I was guaranteed a maximum risk of $500. Consequently, I had the balls to keep my stops and even patiently hold many strong day long trends. Come to think of it I don't remember ever holding a futures trade for the entire day, even if my gut screamed to hold it and maximize the gain in such a strong trend.
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With your own words, you have pinpointed the problem and solution.

Osorico
 
Yeah, I didn't even mention options because even a lot of guys that trade the futures don't trade options, and not options on the ES but on etfs or stocks. Like other posters have said, you do seem to have pretty good setups, so like I mentioned before, i think your issue is with your confidence and the fact that you really cannot afford (or dont feel like you can afford) to lose any more $, thus to ease the pain you will get out of a position when it goes against you but BEFORE it hits your stop, then watch it do exactly what you thoght it was going to.

Honestly a lot of what you say also reminds me of how I trade. i am attempting to work on a little more short term intra day scalping but I have much better results looking for intraday or short term swings over a day or two. So if you are comfortable with options, then I say go with it. I trade options all the time, probably 40% o what I trade are options, most of it futures. But options are excellent precisely for the reason you say, you set your max loss at the beginning and typically you aren't levered to the gills, which you pretty much are trading the futures on a 10k account. No offense but you're controlling 55k or so worth of value on a 10k asset base. Obviously the stops are always good to keep you from getting wiped out but it's still 5 to 1 leverage or so, even on an intraday basis, and that can create some havok in the mind.

With options, you get some leverage, set your loss, and if you are trading SPY DIA IWM or QQQQs you've got some pretty serious liquidity, so small fries like us have no issue. The only thing I would add (and something I have been learning more over the past year, and it's truly helped) is to get out of the options when you need to. I.E. you know in your case you're only risking 500 (as long as you're not selling any naked puts or calls) but when you get a move that goes against you long enough that you know you are wrong, just get out, don't wait to see if you can get back to break even or make a profit. Especially in an environment where vol is priced in as much as it is and the time decay is what it is. So if it goes in your favor soon, then great. If more than a day or so, I have been getting out, usually. 6 months or so ago, I would set my trade and know I was risking a finite sum (with an option) and would ride it all the way down, HOPING it might come back. Incredibly counterproductive I have learned the hard way.

So trade the options on the indexes if you are into that and it works for you. Much easier to stay in and not get shaken out. And you can make some decent coin if you're right. You can always go back to futures once you are successful, if you EVEN want to.

Anyway, my two cents. Been there (not too long ago) and got the t-shirt.


Quote from Smeagol1996:

Thanks for the replies. I have to agree with dropping the ER2 and trading 1 lot YM's if at all.

Before I traded real money I doubled the ToS Sim account 3 times consecutively within ~5 months. Although the default Simulation balance is 100k, I assumed a 10k account and traded 1 lot ER2 and 2 lot YM's always taking worst case bid/ask fills. I was not under the illusion real trading would be that easy. I think that a big part of the problem is the ever present realization that my tiny account (tiny even at 30k starting equity) could be near wiped out or worse with any serious market event. Even though I'm flat everyday to reduce this risk and always use hard stops any serious event could hurt before I got filled. 100k I'm probably fine as long as flat everyday...30k or less and somewhere in the back of your mind you fear the worst case scenario. Pretty tough to relax and master trading psychology in that situation. Futures are such great tools but I'm obviously struggling with unnecessary fear.


RiskyMove, your reply reminded me of the first 6 months of trading where I would momentum intra-day trade front month options on very liquid stocks, Q's and the DIA's. My technical analysis was probably decent and I would place intra-day momentum bets of ~500 on front month options with roughly a -200 stop. I had piece of mind since no matter what the market did that session I was guaranteed a maximum risk of $500. Consequently, I had the balls to keep my stops and even patiently hold many strong day long trends. Come to think of it I don't remember ever holding a futures trade for the entire day, even if my gut screamed to hold it and maximize the gain in such a strong trend.

Am I wrong in thinking that day trading highly liquid options markets such as the DIA's, Q's, SPY, and IWM is just as profitable if not more than than day trading stocks? Also, less equity exposure. Upon daily review my setups for the futures markets are correct the vast majority of the time. Like I said, I just don't stay in the trade. One solution is to use my current trade triggers and just use front month options with comfortable bet sizes and reasonable stops.
 
Quote from saxon22:

How much capital are we talking about Anek?

Careful there chief, I know you like averaging down and this is not it :)

Profit would be the ideal one replying to your question but for clarification purposes I would point out that there is a huge difference between adding when you are wrong and adding to a losing position.

The key element is defining max risk at all times but like I said, this is Profit's world so will let him take over.

Anek
 
OK Mr Struggling Index Trader:

I ain't a great index trader but lemme let you into a little secret...

Stop trying to be right and you will start making money...

In the futures game, trying to be right all the time is not the way to go...

Another thing, that someone has already mentioned... timing is not important... focus on money management...
 
Quote from candletrader:

Another thing, that someone has already mentioned... timing is not important... focus on money management...
Trading is really all about money management, as these guys have already mentioned.

When you realize this truth, you will knock yourself in the head for not getting it before, it is so simple it is almost stupid.

P.S. It's a weird little conumdrum. The fact that so many fail is not due to the fact that they can't trade ... it's that they are looking in the wrong direction (playing the game of being an expert on entries and exits).

Don't get me wrong ... entries and exits are important, they just aren't that important ... one more thing, your EGO is your worst enemy in this opponentless game.

I would know.
 
Quote from Anekdoten:

Careful there chief, I know you like averaging down and this is not it :)

Profit would be the ideal one replying to your question but for clarification purposes I would point out that there is a huge difference between adding when you are wrong and adding to a losing position.

The key element is defining max risk at all times but like I said, this is Profit's world so will let him take over.

Anek


I am pleasantly surprised that you remember my "strategy". I am proud to report that since my initial forray into trading ES, I have steadily improved my "game", not perfected, but I have gotten better.
Yes you are right: " there is a huge difference between adding when you are wrong and adding to a losing position." Too bad, by the time a trader realizes which one it is,most of the time it is too late to avert a catastrophe.
 
Quote from ProfitTakgFool:

You are making the most common mistake a losing trader makes -- you are relying on timing the market and not using money management. Your losses are teenee, tiney losses. Your entries are very, very close to mine today and I made money on all those trades. I don't ever put my entire line on the market at one time. If the trade goes against me and the rationale for getting in the trade in the first place still exists I add to the trade. The funniest thing is, most people call me an idiot for doing this. Imagine, I add to a losing trade, win more than 90% of the time because of it and I'm an idiot. Learn how to manage your money/account and you may laugh your idiot ass off all the way to the bank like I do. <u>You can't rely on just timing and expect to win.</u>


Care to share a little bit more? i would venture to say that your system provides decent returns except when the market goes into tornado mood (like at the start of 2008) and drops a 100 or more points (ES). What do you do in situations like that?
 
Quote from saxon22:

" Too bad, by the time a trader realizes which one it is,most of the time it is too late to avert a catastrophe.

Again, not if you have a solid understanding of PA

Anek
 
Quote from Smeagol1996:
Etc

Almost all trades are from a 5-min chart ..
You should not be trading at all. The obvious is ignored by many amateurs - namely, do not trade unless you know exactly what you are doing; this means having in place an accurate methodology.

A 5 minute chart is more or less useless; it is far too vague to use for accurate day trading. Remember the the aim is to be lifting a chain or series of profits from what the market daily offers (eg ES, YM, CL).
:)
 
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