I'm a long term trend trader. I thought that the trend had turned when it broke through 964, and went long, but I was mistaken unfortunately

I shorted @ 921.
OK. this is how I analyse.
Different people have differentt way of analysing.
I am sure you have your own way of analysing.
Look at very big picture.
Price went up significantly in 2001. definitely demand was soo much stronger than supply.
In 2008, price plunged for whatever reasons.
Now look at big picture.
price is consolidating (or you can call that ranging) between 1040 and 890.
When price is ranging, market could be quite choopy/jerky.
Now let's zoom in further.
Price started to go down starting 8 Sept 17 at around 1016.
Of course it is impossible to catch the top.
Since the price has dropped quite alot, the opportunity is getting smaller.