Quote from Drew07:
OK so say im a complete newbie and don't know what I'm doing......If I put up 2500 and get my ass kicked...what does another 2500 do to save me???....I just look at it as another 2500 I have in my account to lose...If i lose the initial 2500, I can regroup, take a step back and look at what i did wrong and come up with another 2500 to take a shot with. I think its enough to get me started...someone give me a mathematical reason why its not a good idea.
Well, first of all, there are not that many future's whose performance bonds are less than $3000. Sure, intraday margins tend to be at the 50% level with the occasional exception of a broker like Open-E-Cry who will let you day trade with $500 intraday. But that's only if you have $5k in the account. Or so I believe.
Anyway, it's not that you'll lose $2500. It's that just a few series of loses takes you out of the game because you won't be able to afford the performance bond.
And the name of the game when you're a noob is survival. Most noobs don't get this and it's the reason why most noobs fail.
For example... ES: init $3500, maint $2800 - intraday(50%): 1750 init, 1400 maint.
With a $2500 account, you can only lose 15 pts before you're out of the game. And we're going to assume you'll lose this engaging hard stops and not mental stops.
If you had a $5000 account, you could lose 65 pts before you're out of the game. The probability of you losing 65 pts is obviously lower than the probs you'll lose 15 pts.
I can give you game theory and statistically probabilities but keeping it simple seems best.
Be serious about trading and give yourself a winning chance.
