Food for thought for those who cannot decide on whether the current massive rally from June 16/2022 is a new bull market or just a Bear market rally?
You know my opinion. Its a Bear market rally. When it terminates, the primary downtrend will retrace ALL of the rally and take out the June 16th low to the downside and accelerate down.
So now on to you chaps who are calling this a new bull market:
Dig this. Let's just keep it simple by focussing only on QQQ here as an example becasue I am watching it live and still in a trading session that is kicking my ass but the concept holds true for application to the Dow Jones, SPX, DJT, IXIC, NYA.
Here goes:
Q has taken out the 6/2/2022 wave high. So we have a higher high. Now what comes next is crucial. Q must then correct and correct deeply, meaning penetrate deeply into the rally meat but then without taking out the low of June 16, reverse and take out the June 2 top on a closing basis daily timeframe. Then and only then does Dow Theory fire off a signal for a new bull market. Now this still won't tell you how long the new bull will last. Heck it migh only last a month or 2 but it is a bull market signal as per Dow Theory.
WAVE theory complicates this Dow Theory stuff becasue even if Q rallies to waaay deep into the drop from the all time top it can still be a bear rally because it is a Wave 2 up.
But let's just stick with Dow theory and observe if we at least get the meat of what I outlined here.