Quote from facultus:
Due to the trading nature of the ES, when determining the inputs for low, high, close, do you look at a 24 hour time frame or the regular trading hours?
As has been mentioned, yes, we have been going back and forth on this issue for a month or so, starting with Funky's very good posts about pivot trading. This week I wanted to see what the difference would be from the two sets of numbers so I put up two charts, one with each set on my screen.
The first thing to remember is the closing number will be the same no matter which set you use.
Here's how they stacked up this week:
Monday same pivots.
Tuesday different.
Wednesday same pivots.
Thursday different.
Friday very slightly different.
{all times pacific}
On Tuesday, it looks like traders used the 630a to115p pivot for the 7am reverse and used the 730 and 830 reverses with the 24 hour numbers.
Thursday it looks like very little difference between where price hits on both pivot charts except the 10a pivot was right on for the 24 hour chart pivots.
Friday they were very close.
So, it looks to me like traders who may try to over-think these numbers and set only the day schedule make up some of the traders and the rest are those traders who either don't know any different or who don't care. So you've got what appears to be big and small traders using both sets of pivots.
At least that's what I see.
Bottom line for me is, pivots are not absolute anyway, but they are, as dbPhoenix once said, kind of like taking a stick and poking the traders at that price to see if there is liquidity or interest in trading that price. My observation is you can use either set of numbers and be fine, because the rest of the trading universe seems to be doing the same thing. If the overnight session was very unusual, then the pivots will be different, otherwise, both sets are very close to each other.
jd