Perfect TA...

Quote from hcour:


And if he's indeed found perfection, why on earth would he wish to sell it?

Harold
More...
This is always the overriding question to anybody selling these wonderful trading methods and services (at the "low low monthly price of only...", anyway). It has NEVER been answered adequately IMHO. Who would ever sell the golden goose? Nobody.

Now if those methods for sale are only marginally profitable, don't work anymore, have a poor risk/reward, etc, etc, then heck - sell 'em!

If I had an incredible, super-profitable low risk system I would beg, borrow, or steal the money and trade the hell out of it. And I'd be vewwey vewwey quiwet about it...

Good luck to all.

C
 
Greetings, guys!
Thanks all of you for answers. Even for such, as the latest one. I think, that my idea has interested some of you. I suggest to not transform this thread into a garbage can of dirty words.
Tell me fairly, whether you thought of the market in a similar way earlier? Whether you sometime saw a similar method in books?
 
Quote from UM_manager:

Greetings, guys!
Thanks all of you for answers. Even for such, as the latest one. I think, that my idea has interested some of you. I suggest to not transform this thread into a garbage can of dirty words.
Tell me fairly, whether you thought of the market in a similar way earlier? Whether you sometime saw a similar method in books?
More...


Um,

seriously,with all due respect, its nothing new and has been published in dozens of variations.

best wishes,

surfer:)
 
Quote from UM_manager:

Greetings, guys!
Thanks all of you for answers. Even for such, as the latest one. I think, that my idea has interested some of you. I suggest to not transform this thread into a garbage can of dirty words.
Tell me fairly, whether you thought of the market in a similar way earlier? Whether you sometime saw a similar method in books?
More...

Yes, tradestation does these types of projections, and have been since thier 2ki release( they are on TS8 now, to give you perspective)

Your probability map has a rather wide margin of error from eyeballing it.

As Gann stated, and Solomon before him....THERE IS NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN:mad:
 
Quote from UM_manager:

The method I developed is based on the analysis of pure price, instead of information distorted by technical indicators. In fact, if the basic postulate of the technical analysis on repeatability of history is true, there will be no necessity to study behavior of indicators to answer the question about the further movement of the price. It will be enough to find such dynamics of the prices in the past, which would be similar to recent price dynamics investigated, for implement the best ever technical analysis.

I use algorithms, based on fuzzy logic and statistical methods together with artificial neural networks to search for price movements similar to present one. Then I divide the area of future possible price movement into regions and calculate the quantity of similar price movements that corresponds to that region. More of past movements pass to that regions, more the probability will be that the future price will reach that region.
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One more thing, how does your system account for black swans?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

OK, i give up.

something inside me, wants to believe when i see threads like this, however, i am still waiting for quantified evidence of TA success.

best wishes,

surfer
More...
The fact that he is peddling his trove is indicative of its merits. Indeed surfer, the salesman said that you are an "observant person". In our discipline, I understand this to mean, a person endowed with an unusually high degree of healthy skepticism.
Better stick to it. It always saves you money.

nononsense
:(
 
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