perfect forecast for S&P500

fortuna · Sep 10, 2003

Since 4 months, the auto-correlation between current datas and october 1980 (96.19% R2) have been a very good forecaster for SP500.

While the forecast has well anticipated/replicated the recent up-move, if history repeats itself we should expect a 5% fall to 975 in the next two weeks . A strong rebound will start in mid october bringing the S&P500 to 1085.

purious correlation or fascinating replication of past events: I let you decide

I have also 2 interesting correlations for ndx (-15% in the next month) and USD agst DEM up 30% in the next 6 months) :these 2 correlations reinforce forecast for SPX

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futuresystem (excel file in last e-mail)

fortuna · Sep 10, 2003

sorry for usd dem -17% and not 30% in march 1992 (first irak war: another nice deja vu)

waggie945 · Sep 10, 2003

Irak = Iraq

That way, you can have a lot more CREDIBILITY on this post!

fortuna · Sep 10, 2003

well in French it is written Irak.

Quand le sage montre le ciel du doigt a l'imbecile, l'imbecile regarde le doigt

vak · Sep 10, 2003

fortuna

MarathonTrading · Sep 10, 2003

Frappe ta tÃªte contre une cruche. Si tu obtiens un son creux, n'en dÃ©duis pas que c'est forcÃ©ment la cruche qui est vide.

waggie945 · Sep 10, 2003

WE ARE IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

MarathonTrading · Sep 10, 2003

You are wrong. We are in the world wide web

fortuna · Sep 10, 2003

no you are on the web

richtrader · Sep 10, 2003

You guys are lucky you're not in the Pysch forum with the policy of "Excessive use of foreign (non-english) language within posts will result in the deletion of that post."

:eek: