Perfect Analogy...

I was just skimming through one of my Trader Vic books last
night and read this again. I think this is an excellent analogy
to why so many traders fail...


The question is... "Why do so many traders fail?"



"The difference is neither intelligence nor
knowledge, but the will to execute knowledge.


Acquiring the requisite knowledge to trade, or
to do most things in life, is relatively easy. For example, consider
the area of weight loss.



You can walk into any bookstore and find
countless books on the subject by experts who outline proven
and healthy weight loss techniques.


Yet, only 12 in 100 people who start a weight
loss program actually lose weight, and only 2 of those 12 maintain
the loss for more than one year.



That's a 2% success rate...worse than the 5% success rate for commodity trading!


Whether it's trading, losing weight, or pursuing any other goal, the most difficult part isn't in knowing
what to do or how; it is in making the decision to do it and
stick to it."



Trader Vic-Methods of a Wallstreet Master...
page 198.
 
I agree.

Quote from Breakout:

I was just skimming through one of my Trader Vic books last
night and read this again. I think this is an excellent analogy
to why so many traders fail...


The question is... "Why do so many traders fail?"



"The difference is neither intelligence nor
knowledge, but the will to execute knowledge.


Acquiring the requisite knowledge to trade, or
to do most things in life, is relatively easy. For example, consider
the area of weight loss.



You can walk into any bookstore and find
countless books on the subject by experts who outline proven
and healthy weight loss techniques.


Yet, only 12 in 100 people who start a weight
loss program actually lose weight, and only 2 of those 12 maintain
the loss for more than one year.



That's a 2% success rate...worse than the 5% success rate for commodity trading!


Whether it's trading, losing weight, or pursuing any other goal, the most difficult part isn't in knowing
what to do or how; it is in making the decision to do it and
stick to it."



Trader Vic-Methods of a Wallstreet Master...
page 198.
 
It's even worse than it sounds -- at least with people trying to lose weight, they have actual incentives to stray from their goals, namely, hunger pains, satisfaction from fatty/sugary foods, relaxing vs exercising etc.

What is the corollary for a losing trader that would attract him to make more losses? On the surface, there are none. The more correct analogy for a losing trader is that of a dieter that has only cow dung available for food who still gorges himself rather than maintain the discipline to lose weight.
 
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