5. Eliminating capital gains will generate substantial government revenue. It never has when it was tried before. It has only raised taxes in the quarter before the tax increase goes into effect and thereafter the revenue declines until it stabilizes at a lower than projected level. It always grows about projection when it is lowered. This assumption ignores the school of economics called âbehavioral economicsââ¦that part of the dismal science that found that people make choices according to incentive and perceived penalties. You have to remember that rich people, the ones who own capital investment and make capital investments, the farmers, professionals, and business owners, donât have to sell their businesses. One of the things you get when you are well off is that you get to make choices for yourself, you can choose when and how you want to take accumulated income. You can also take it out of you capital assets through leverage if you thing the tax cost of selling is too high. You donât pay tax on debt when you take it out that way and the pay back reduces the current earnings so, reduces ongoing income tax also. The biggest reason to have a low capital gains tax is to discourage a âlock inâ effect where people avoid the tax all together by not selling and instead taking cash out as debt. This locks capital into less productive uses that it otherwise might be employed, and it raises less revenue. It also reduces other transaction taxes that state and local governments rely on, not to mention all the expenses in the real economy that tied to capital transaction flow. The OMB data assumes that people will behave the same with transactions no matter the tax rate; this is a false premise. We know that people donât behave that way.
6. Capital Gains are favored even without exclusion. Again Anrig makes an argument that contradicts his earlier points without realizing what he is suggesting. He is arguing the lock in effect, the fact that people donât have to sell capital assets when the tax is seen as too high, as some sort of tax break. He is moron. People save taxes by not making a gain. You know this guy canât wait to promote a wealth tax to get around the bastards who refuse to sell the farm or slaughter the fatted calf. We see the bias of progressives to think in terms of commanding economic behavior rather than taking responsibility for the incentives and reactions to penalties that they create in the path of fee people aspiring to grow on their own account. It is hard to keep reading his article when you realize he considers the decision to remain an owner operator as a tax break. He is a moron. Then he goes on to make the typical misrepresentation about the death tax. Sure the current estate tax code provides for a rise in basis of capital assets to the value at the time of deathâ¦.but; you have to pay estate tax on that value. What they promote as a tax break from the estate tax code is not a tax break at all, it is just the code noticing that it would be unfair to charge an estate tax on the capital at one value and then tax it again on a lower basis as capital gainsâ¦it would be double tax. The estate tax acts like a capital gains tax so the future capital gains tax should be based on the value at the time the estate tax was levied. Calling this a tax break is like someone coming and stealing your lunch sandwich and then telling you that he is going to give you a break and not make you buy him another one. Mark up in basis is not a capital gains break, the owners of the capital, the heirs; pay an estate tax on the capital instead. Here we see the same simple minded misrepresentations and shallow deceits meant to obscure what is really happening. The author must assume that all of his readers are idiots who know nothing about the issue.
7. Defenders of the tax exclusion are a well funded lobby of the rich. Anrig should be embarrassed by this argument since he runs a foundation created from the fortune of a rich Bostonian, Filene, in the early 1900âs, which he directs to promote liberal progressive tax ideasâ¦like this article. There is no shortage of money and lobbying power on the progressive side. To suggest that there is, especially when you run a foundation that has had enough funding to last for a century, can only be understood as lying. Itâs not like the POTUS and the Democratic Leadership that controls the Senate does not propagandize and campaign to raise the capital gains tax. Anrig is like a Roman who has buried the Christians up to their necks in the Coliseum and turned the lions lose, but then stands up and yells âFight fair Christians!â as they try to bite the attacking lions. This is a silly argument that is contradicted by the reality that anyone can see; both sides are funded and you have to look through the deciets and exaggerations to find the truth. All Anrig has to do is call Soros if he wants more money to propagandize the ignorant.
8. Investment decisions should be driven by risk reward instead of tax. Anrig would have us once again consider that the issue is only about publically traded stocks rather than about the fabric of private assets and businesses in the real economy. Tax considerations should not be the basis for a deal but it is foolish not to consider tax consequences that tax inflation as well as gain at a now proposed higher rates of one third of the gain. Any sensible person who faces aggressive operating taxes and regulations and an uncertain rate of return must think twice when a hard earned gain over long time will be reduced by more than one third once it is liquidated. Even if the entrepreneurial impulse and risk calculus can overcome the threat of excessive future tax in the decision to start a business, the whole point is that it will weigh more heavily at the margin when it comes time to decide when to sell a business or how to rearrange its financial structure. It is after all the decisions on sale and continuing growth that are most impacted at the margin by the rate of gain tax on sale.
9. Reagan raised the Cap Gains rate to pass the 1986 tax reform. Here Anrig is being disingenuous because he knows it was a compromise that Reagan would have preferred not to make. He thought it was worth it to get the top rate down from 50% to 28%. The rise in the capital gains tax along with the disallowance of deductions of passive losses from AGI income was one of the main causes for the collapse of real estate development that began after the 1986 law was passed and resulted eventually in the collapse of the S&L industry and highest amount of bank failures since the Great Depressionâ¦even more than we have faced in the latest crises. Of course Anrig doesnât get into this but deceives by suggesting that Reagan favored the rise in capital gains exclusion and that the rise did not have negative consequences. It is discussed often but the 1986 tax bill precipitated the S&L crises. It removed the value from commercial real estate that was tied up in tax arbitrage between the high income tax rate of 50% and the low capital gains rate of 20%. A whole sector of the economy was leveraging real estate investment to generate passive losses that could be deducted from current income and then paid back with future capital gains at a lower rate. This over leveraging of real estate by the recently deregulated S&L industry chasing yield to compensate for the decade of disintermediation through inflation had created a commercial real estate bubble that the 1986 tax law intentionally popped all at once. Of course they were shooting at the tax shelters but hit the S&Lâs by mistake. The lesson in that little understood mistake was that there is an important relationship between capital gains rates and how the exclusion is qualified in terms and the regular income rates. If he spread is too large and the qualification of the exclusion is too short the differential will cause distortions. Anrig could have used this as an argument against capital gains, and it would have been better than any of his â10, âbut he really doesnât know what he is talking about.
10. Income from Capital should be taxed the same as income from âWorkâ as a matter of principle fairness. Here again, Anrig assumes that all capital gains behavior is men of leisure trading stocks. That is really as stupid view. The issue of capital assets in the real economy is much more than public stocks and the capital does not run itself. As I have stated above it is the businesses of the real economy we are talking about. It is land, timber, a sugar bush, a dairy farm, a driving range, a Carvel store, the dentist, an adaptive reuse of an historic building that is rented to lawyers, a car repair business, a brew pub, a winery, a hotel, a fleet to limousines and on and on. This is the stuff of the real economy and the lives of people who build wealth through the creation and maintenance of real assets. It is the value of these assets built over years in a life that Anrig would steal away. All these people who build these businesses that do not become IBM or face book, hire people, train people, buy goods and services from other businesses that hire and employ, even from IBM. Anrig would have all employed in the labor of digging ditches without backhoes. Even Communist China understands that is not really a fair or principled outcome.
Convertible, this ideological progressive hack of a think tank âjournalistâ has nothing insightful or honest or so important to say about the issue of investment and assets and their role in wealth creation and economic growth. You should learn more about it, read better stuff, so that you don't get fooled again.
Now that I took this apart for you, why donât you take us through the other article you pasted to on a point by point basis?