Peak oil? Occidental may prove otherwise with 1 billion b find in Calif

The state of California should go into the oil business and start drilling, that should close their budget deficit in no time.
Now Occidental ( OXY - news - people ) is breaking ranks in another way, by upsetting the commonplace view that the days of "easy oil" in the U.S. are over. Last year Oxy announced a new find outside Bakersfield, in Kern County, Calif., which is shaping up to be the biggest onshore oil discovery the U.S. has seen in three decades. It likely holds more than 1 billion barrels of oil (and natural gas equivalents) that will be easy and cheap to extract.

That the gusher is situated in a hydrocarbon basin that has been picked over for 100 years validates the philosophy extolled by Oxy President Steven Chazen and Chief Executive Ray R. Irani: The best place to find new oil is in old oilfields.
It also raises the tantalizing prospect of lots more easy oil awaiting discovery in the U.S. That would not only help reduce reliance on foreign oil but also be far cheaper than deepwater oil--it costs roughly $10 per barrel to get oil out of this ground versus $30 (including extraction taxes and royalties) or more for deepwater projects. "It's similar to the economics you have in the Middle East," says Irani.

http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2010/0...il-oil-everywhere.html?boxes=Homepagetoprated
 
Or to put it another way -

If the Chinese really are going to buy a billion new cars, that need 4 billion new tires, producing the tires alone will consume 30 discoveries like the one you cited.
 
Quote from Random.Capital:

A billion barrels is approximately 12 days worth of oil consumption.
How many days worth of oil consumption in California is it? As of about a decade ago, 1 billion barrels would supply California with 75% of its energy needs for a year. That makes a large difference.
Remember, very small changes in supply can and do have huge impacts on prices. Seems to be a logarithmic, not linear relationship.
I know that oil is fungible, but you cannot dismiss my argument out of hand.
 
Quote from pspr:

The U.S. consumes about 21 million barrels per day. So, 1 billion barrels equals about 47 days not 12.
That argument is lost on those who have an erotic fixation with projected future demand in Chindia.
 
Quote from pspr:

The U.S. consumes about 21 million barrels per day. So, 1 billion barrels equals about 47 days not 12.

Oh, what a relief! By the way he probably mean WORLD consumption. 1 billion is about 5 days of world consumption. So in plain English you can wipe your ass with this discovery.

The Oxy chief didn't say how much was recoverable? It could be less than half. Statistically only 30% is recoverable, just so you know before you get a hard on reading news like this....
 
Quote from pspr:

The U.S. consumes about 21 million barrels per day. So, 1 billion barrels equals about 47 days not 12.

You cannot simply look at US consumption, as that does not cover use-by-proxy of all the petro products imported from elsewhere.

That find is 12 days max of global petro consumption.

That's it.

Quote from Peklo
Oh, what a relief! By the way he probably mean WORLD consumption.

47 days would be much better than 12 days. That's moves it out of worrisome territory altogether. :confused:

Yes, you're right, of course. I was referring to global consumption, since we import petro-intensive products from a global supply chain.
 
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