Quote from Tsing Tao:
If, God forbid, you lose your job and your family looks at it's budget and realizes it can no longer afford all the bills it takes in, do you, as Ricter the Responsible, tell your family that austerity isn't going to work for the growth of the family - you have to spend more?
Quote from Ricter:
Me: Dunno. Might have to put on my Sir Googalot hat for that one.
Crowd: Ole!
: )
Most of this is true, but it begs the question. Germany, France, the UK, were the austerity "imposers". So the question remains, why were they so quick to impose austerity, particularly when history provides examples that it doesn't work (during a recession)? I say, amnesia.Quote from Tsing Tao:
Let me help you out. They were quick to embrace austerity because they finally realized that no one was willing to lend to them anymore. When yields of sovereign debt broke certain levels, there was no way countries like Greece, Ireland, Spain (which is happening now) and Italy could/can continue to finance their deficits.
Investors say "ok, I'll lend to you, but because of the risk, I demand a whole lot more yield than you are comfortable paying." The country then says "Uncle! I can't pay that". Once locked out of the debt markets, they turned to the ECB and to the richer nations of the EMU, like Germany, Austria and Finland.
But these guys don't want to give away money and accept all the risk, so they demand concessions to force the country to get it's fiscal house in order. So countries like Greece come up with an austere budget (usually made in fantasy land) and try to force it down the people's throat. But it doesn't work. Why? Because you cannot solve a debt problem with more debt.
There are only two solutions, just like there will be only two solutions when the bond vigilantes come knocking at Uncle Sam's door: Devalue and print, or severe austerity.
THATS IT.
It's not like there's a comfortable third option to austerity, Ricter. The sooner you get with the program and stop drinking the kool aid the sooner you will realize what a mess we are in.
Quote from Ricter:
Most of this is true, but it begs the question. Germany, France, the UK, were the austerity "imposers". So the question remains, why were they so quick to impose austerity, particularly when history provides examples that it doesn't work (during a recession)? I say, amnesia.
Quote from Tsing Tao:
Because it wasn't them, of course. No one wants to have to be austere when it's themselves. They know that the way to be elected is NOT by cutting entitlements. But at the same time, they'll be damned if they're going to lend money when they know there's no way in hell it will be repaid, unless the country getting the funds makes an effort to cut their spending.
One day soon it will be France. And watch what happens when no one will lend to France.