Quote from metooxx:
The market has discounted the war; the word now is earnings ...
Quote from praetorian2:
Amen brother. I am about 20% net short now (most short I have been in recent memory). IBM will meet the number this quarter, revenue will be weak, and they'll guide lower for the rest of the year. That should start the panic. I would recommend piling into the financials, autos, consumer durables on the short side, though almost anything you short except gold will do well.
Good luck.