Pairs Trading

Quote from Don Bright:

I knew we'd find common ground. Now, we can "all just get along."

And, perhaps after we modify our arrangements with Goldman to allow for a more cost effective way to trade options, we may very well open up the whole option leverage thing (I have them "working on it" now, we'll see).

Don

Fair enough Don. I don't see the problem in offering what every JBO offers, including VTrader and Echo; namely, haircut on options.

So these 1:1 and 25% restrictions come from Goldman?
 
Quote from atticus:

Fair enough Don. I don't see the problem in offering what every JBO offers, including VTrader and Echo; namely, haircut on options.

So these 1:1 and 25% restrictions come from Goldman?

They don't "mandate" any particulars, but since we have historically traded so few options/futures, the whole "package" (including pricing) needs to be adjusted for these products.

Don
 
Pair trading is a near-attenuated strategy that is the day trading firm owner's best buddy.

You see, pair trading used to be a near risk-free opportunity. You'd short one stock and buy the other of a correlated pair that exhibited mean-reverting tendencies once they diverged by some std dev measurement. And this used to occur regularly. Now, since everyone and thier mother knows what pair trading is, these situations are much fewer and farther between and the divergence much much smaller than it used to be. The consequence of which is two-fold:

1. You need to get into sick size in order to make money, and ;
2. It’s riskier now than ever because the std dev spread which signals a trade is smaller than it ever has been and when it expands even more, you’re exposed to serious losses.

But Don Bright loves it so – forcing you to buy a ton of shares on 2 stocks. That commission whore. Whenever a charlatan touts something like this, it should be treated as a contra-indication.
 
Quote from bestfriend:

GGSAE,

Dude, the flaw IS in the methodology.

You have plenty of info on this thread showing why pair trading is not a winning strategy. So what if some people make money at it?


Could you explain why you think that pair trading is not a viable strategy for the trader? Do you think that mean reversion, as defined and practiced by most pair traders, is unreliable?
Thanks.
 
Quote from CutsThrough:But Don Bright loves it so – forcing you to buy a ton of shares on 2 stocks. That commission whore. Whenever a charlatan touts something like this, it should be treated as a contra-indication.

...or simply spread out and trade 20 pairs at the same time, instead of that single one. Now the risk suddenly have dropped somewhat...
 
Quote from CutsThrough:

Pair trading is a near-attenuated strategy that is the day trading firm owner's best buddy.

You see, pair trading used to be a near risk-free opportunity. You'd short one stock and buy the other of a correlated pair that exhibited mean-reverting tendencies once they diverged by some std dev measurement. And this used to occur regularly. Now, since everyone and thier mother knows what pair trading is, these situations are much fewer and farther between and the divergence much much smaller than it used to be. The consequence of which is two-fold:

1. You need to get into sick size in order to make money, and ;
2. It’s riskier now than ever because the std dev spread which signals a trade is smaller than it ever has been and when it expands even more, you’re exposed to serious losses.

But Don Bright loves it so – forcing you to buy a ton of shares on 2 stocks. That commission whore. Whenever a charlatan touts something like this, it should be treated as a contra-indication.

Sorry, but once again, this is nonsense. Our traders pick their size, limit their number of layers (or some simply trade one layer). We encourage "crutch pair trading" which cuts commissions in half. Your information is either just wrong, or perhaps not understood, either way, it's just silly.

If traders don't make money, they tend to go away...how smart would it be to encourage them to go away?

And, I suppose those reading this stuff are better off listening to name calling children, with nothing of value to add. And, if you have something serious to discuss, then let's do it...I'm always glad to make myself, and crew, available for any type of serious trading discussion.

Don
 
Don Bright wrote:

And to the other poster: The only accounts Bob "took over" were our accounts anyway from our portfolio group who were trading our money. He may have helped someone who was having trouble on occasion, but that's just the way he is. No "revenue stream" when it's our money.


I heard otherwise re: GE/HON blowup -- primarily that it wasn't "portfolio traders" whose positions were assumed by Bob.

Don reminds me of Tony Snow(job)...
 
Quote from nitro:

Even though you may make a living on the edge of this chaos [mean reversion tug of war] for a long time, one day your number comes up. Imo, the key is to find a way to not get killed when your number comes up. Sometimes it is unavoidable though...Every pair trader has a debacle once in a while that really hurts.
Heh -- I'll vouch for that.
 
Quote from stereo70:

Don Bright wrote:




I heard otherwise re: GE/HON blowup -- primarily that it wasn't "portfolio traders" whose positions were assumed by Bob.

Don reminds me of Tony Snow(job)...
That is Risk Arbitrage, and while it is a cousin of Statistical Arbitrage [a misnomer because their is no arbitrage to it at all], doesn't entail the same risk. Pairs trading [stat arb] is far riskier than Risk Arb, which is probably why the position size in the pairs don't get as big as they do in Risk Arb.

What is tragic is that, because the people that handicap these mergers are so good at it, most traders throw massive size at them, building _huge_ positions. When the deal is broken, you can be sure there are also broken traders. They did everything right - it is just that their number came up...Nothing you can do.

nitro
 
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