Quote from jonnysharp:
hi all, ive been away for awhile, but ive come back home now and not so busy, i still get plenty of pm's from everybody and yes i'm still pair trading, and doing well, ive been a bit bored lately so i thought i would start posting some trades again for us to discuss, i really enjoy the interaction with other pair traders and hope some old names here re-appear and we can crush the market together, dollar neutral style! and hopefully i can smash my prior record of 110% in one year!
ok, new trade today
Long SEIC @ 19.84
Short OXPS @ 17.09
what i like about this trade;
1) pair is 3.09 standard deviations from the mean
2) ratio chart is over extended and down-trending(i'm betting on a further decline)
3) RSI chart made a lower high
4) percent from mean is at historical high
5) pair backtests well with a 100% win rate, a very high 4.14% avg profit per trade with an average of 13 days holding time and a nice smooth uptrending equity curve
6) OXPS is over-valued relative to SEIC based on valuation measures PEG and PS
7) no earnings announcements due for over 10 weeks
attached is charts, fundamentals and backtest