Reality check
1.Trump lost the popular vote by 7 million votes,but he only lost The EC by 42,000 votes.Bidens approval rating has gone from +23 to -18.Bidens approval with black voters has gone from around 90 to the 40's,thus millions of people who voted for him in 2020 will not be voting for him in 2024.
2.Republicans got millions more votes in the 2022 mid terms.If the republican wins the popular vote in a presidential race it is virtually a guaranteed win.
2022 Midterms
Dems 51 million
GOP 54 million
3.Trumps legal troubles did not stop him from blazing through the GOP primary.Majority of polls show the majority of Americans will vote for Trump over Biden, the majority of Americans think Trump was a better president than Biden and like Trump personally more than Biden.The majority of Americans think Trump is/was better on the economy,immigration and most other issues.Trumps legal problems have proven to have no effect on him politically.
4.Incumbency is an advantage,but not when your approval ratings are as bad as Bidens.
Bidens approval / disapproval is - 18.He hasn't had a higher approval than disapproval since 2021.
Point 12,swing states look stable.Hes right,they look stable for Trump
Point 12,Biden and Harris will put 100 million in swing states.Newsflash,so did Hillary who out-raised Trump by nearly double.Biden has the same problem Gore and Hillary had ,a significant amount of progressives and blacks do not like him and will not be voting for him.No amount of money can get progressives and blacks to vote for a conservative democrat like Biden,Hillary or Gore if they do not like you.Ill add that progressives and blacks hate Biden far more than they did Hillary or Gore.I and most people I know voted for Hillary.I and 99% of the people I know will not be voting for Biden.