over 90% win rate

[kut2k2]

Winrates based on less than 500 trades are essentially meaningless. How many trades is your 90% based on?

 

[copa8]

I have a strategy with a win rate of over 90%.

That's too high for me. Looking for a strategy with under 90% win rate.

 

[pleckerchris]

Winrates based on less than 500 trades are essentially meaningless. How many trades is your 90% based on?

I wouldn't even give 500 much credit. It's not the trade count that matters, more than th time period. A scalper could make 500 trades in a month, week, or possibly a day. That time period is not enough at all to evaluate a system. You want results from different economic time periods. If somebody has been 90% for 2-3 years, then that's impressive. But 90% in a few weeks or months is nothing worth evaluating.

 

[Turveyd]

But seriously anyone got a or a 84.2% profitable method? Would pay top dollar for that be awesome.

Firstly of like to say don't look in my journal. Thanks.

 

[hoodooman]

Thanks for the replies. Regards to you all.

 

[Sergio77]

I'd rather be 25% successful with a 1:4 R:R than 75% successful trading 1:1 R:R.

But 25% win rate opens you to large drawdowns, many consecutive losers, etc. Not a good idea.

 

[OddTrader]

JH: 100% Win-rate, with 3x ATR profit.

 

[kut2k2]

I wouldn't even give 500 much credit. It's not the trade count that matters, more than th time period. A scalper could make 500 trades in a month, week, or possibly a day. That time period is not enough at all to evaluate a system. You want results from different economic time periods. If somebody has been 90% for 2-3 years, then that's impressive. But 90% in a few weeks or months is nothing worth evaluating.

Ridiculous. You talk like timeframe doesn't matter but it does. You don't need 2-3 years to get a significant sample size with 5-minute data.

 

[dom993]

I have one of these, although currently in prototype form.

Not sure I like it though ... the average loss being 2.5 x the average win, it doesn't take long to get into a significant DD, and then, it can take a long time to get out of it.

 

[d08]

Ridiculous. You talk like timeframe doesn't matter but it does. You don't need 2-3 years to get a significant sample size with 5-minute data.

You definitely need at least few years of data, for different market conditions. Would you seriously consider something with 2000 trades on 5min over 6 months? For me, that's insignificant. Having 500 trades on 5min over 3 years is much more meaningful.

However, a high win rate (80%+) simply means the drawdowns are on their way.