Does anybody trade ratio spreads? Ratio call spreads or front spreads can give you a couple of advantages if you are bullish. You will get long deltas and you will get short vega to the upside. As many here know, implied volatility typically comes down when a stock moves higher. It is even possible for the otm call to decline in price even though the stock is rising. It is a function of supply and demand. When a stock declines, speculators enter the market to buy calls. After it rises, they need to sell them out plus you have people taking profits in the stock by selling a covered call. MMs are NEVER in a rush to buy otm calls. So here's a trade:
From ivolatility.com and CBOE.com:
Buy 10 MSQ July 50 calls at 4.40 for a debit of $4400
sell 15 MSQ Jult 55 calls at 1.75 for a credit of $2625
for a debit of 1.775 or $1775
you would have a net delta of 60, gamma of -36, theta of 4(?), can't find a vega but it would probably be something like -15
At expiration:
P/L with stock at 50 = - $1775
51 = -$775
52 = $225
53 = $1225
54 = $2225
55 = $3225
56 = $2725
57 = $2225
58 = $1725
59 = $1225
60 = $725
61 = $225
62 = -$275
If I had software that shows how the position changes over time and price it would be big help. On a stock rise, short gamma increases, short vega increases which is good because IV is probably coming down. To the downside, your loss is limited because there is no naked position. The 55's will get crushed into oblivion. The 50's would probably not lose as much since IV is most likely increasing. You could buy back the 55's for .10 cents and sell more calls against the 50's.
I wish I could trade like this but I don't have enough capital for naked sales. When I was a marketmaker, something similar to this is was as close to being a sure winner or least a non big loser as possible. Owning out of the money calls was always death. It is part of the reason I am no longer a MM.
What do you guys think?
From ivolatility.com and CBOE.com:
Buy 10 MSQ July 50 calls at 4.40 for a debit of $4400
sell 15 MSQ Jult 55 calls at 1.75 for a credit of $2625
for a debit of 1.775 or $1775
you would have a net delta of 60, gamma of -36, theta of 4(?), can't find a vega but it would probably be something like -15
At expiration:
P/L with stock at 50 = - $1775
51 = -$775
52 = $225
53 = $1225
54 = $2225
55 = $3225
56 = $2725
57 = $2225
58 = $1725
59 = $1225
60 = $725
61 = $225
62 = -$275
If I had software that shows how the position changes over time and price it would be big help. On a stock rise, short gamma increases, short vega increases which is good because IV is probably coming down. To the downside, your loss is limited because there is no naked position. The 55's will get crushed into oblivion. The 50's would probably not lose as much since IV is most likely increasing. You could buy back the 55's for .10 cents and sell more calls against the 50's.
I wish I could trade like this but I don't have enough capital for naked sales. When I was a marketmaker, something similar to this is was as close to being a sure winner or least a non big loser as possible. Owning out of the money calls was always death. It is part of the reason I am no longer a MM.
What do you guys think?
