Options, options, options

Quote from RollingThunders:

Buy May 46 puts (10 contracts) QQQQ- cost $820

Are you serious, or you are just testing people's reactions? If you really bought added 10 new contracts, I think one day you will lose.
 
Quote from flyinglead:

How can someone blow the account in one day unless he is selling options?

It is possible. Example. Imagine you bought an OTM call on Bear the friday before it sank, and put all account in it because you thought you had a rocksolid bottom. The next trading day, it went to $3 or so down from 30 dollars something. You now have a ton of calls with market: Bid:0.0, Ask:0.05, and no volume. No one is buying. Unless Bear goes to the moon, the portfolio value is practically equal to zero with a clock ticking fast even for those holding leaps.
 
Quote from RollingThunders:

Sell May 46 put on QQQQ (10 contracts) at 1.15

$310 gain

If I recall it correctly, you started with a 3K account Therefore you made 10% return, but you risked 30% of your account. Just to break even you will need a be right 3 times on four trial (an average of 75%). To be profitable you will need more than 75%.

In addition the above is an arithmetic average. The most likely result is the geometric average. ((0.70)*(1.10)^30)^(1/4).

Could you pls. compute the latter number?
 
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