Option replication and exotics journal

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I sold RUT straddles on Friday. A couple ER2 680's as well for a friend's account. Did better than 30 on all, but the ER2 weakness late in the day makes 30 improbable tomorrow. I expect weakness tonight and into the day session.

I would go with the RUT 670 and ER2 675 handles for new positions.

FYI: I never sell bull-delta straddles, always bear-delta in index markets. The skew and delta invert concurrently on my short strikes into a decline.
 
Not really, A. Gamma will be much a much greater factor at that point. I'll gamma trade the position, but the only vol hedge will consist of flying-off the position, or an offset.
 
This is just my own bias of course, but I was actually thinking we see a substantial retrace in early January -- if we end the year at the highs.

Of course, that is irrelavant to your position unless you get nailed by a gap. But since I know from the hours of your ET posts that you are really a computer that is awake to trade 24/7, it is unlikely that you will not have an opportunity to hedge. :)
 
Barring a large discontinuity ;) I have a bunch of shuttle PCs throughtout the house and a setup in the car with an itronix rugged laptop and car-dock.
 
Riskarb,

Say the emini er2 spot is trading at 680 and I get 30 points on a 680 straddle... how would one go about hedging this position?

What if you had a downward bias too?


--MIKE
 
I would go with a lower-strike if you have a bearish-bias. 675 or lower. You can hedge soft-deltas at 1/2/3 deviations on weekly stat-vol, but only if we trade below the strike. If we rally I may offset, but it's unlikely that I would cover the position in a rally. My hedges mirror stat-vol as well, but are a bit more complex.

Never trade more than 50d against the primary position.
 
Buying(selling) futures and selling the atm straddle can be a good directional strategy as well. In this case I would sell the 690 straddle and sell futures, 1:1.

To follow-up: A rally to 690 on ER2 is a robust stop-loss on the straddle/futures position... you're likely going to have some straddle-gains to mitigate the loss on futures.
 
Quote from ssternlight:

thanks...wish I could make good use of a spiffy terminal like that one. Or even just have one around the house to fool with. :cool:
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I don't front the cost, thankfully. The dbase is unbelievable, launchpad is awesome and the vol-tools are decent.
 
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