It depends on the market. Let's look at a simple classic opening range breakout system, with a counter trend filter.
Sub SimpleOpenRangeBreakOut(MULT)
Dim AveTr
Dim Nxtopen
If BarNumber<LastBar Then
Nxtopen=NextOpen(0)
Else
Nxtopen=0
End If
If Close > Open Then
Sell("SellBrk",1,Nxtopen-MULT*TrueRange,Stop,Day)
End If
If Close < Open Then
Buy("BuyBrk",1,Nxtopen+MULT*TrueRange,Stop,Day)
End If
End Sub
We will run this system on various markets. We want to judge if the system gives you a statistical edge as a strategy, not if it is tradable, so we did not include any deductions for slippage and commissions. This system is a free system included with TradersStudio. We ran it using several markets:
Crude, Cotton, Coffee, SP500, Nasdaq, Natural Gas, Ten-year note.
In some of these markets like SP500,Nasdaq and Natural Gas the average trade is high enough to make it tradable. In Cotton and Coffee the average trade is not high enough to think about trading, but high enough to make it interesting if we add a few more filters. In Crude oil and the ten-year note our point is just that it show a positive returns both long and short in markets with strong bias.
Please review attached spreadsheets.
Many people say Opening range breakout does not work anymore. You can see that this is not true, volatility makes it work. In fact out of our list of seven markets the only losing markets are the stock indexes. It was profitable in every other market in this limited study. I have included the Spreadsheet produced by TradersStudio as an attachment.
Remember you can also watch the first two parts of the opening range breakout video for free on TradersStudio.com
http://www.tradersstudio.com/Default.aspx?tabid=129