A comparison...
Fiat
- backed by sovereign
- depreciates due to inflation
- can rapidly devalue / cease to exist
- relative value depends on macro & geopolitical conditions of the country
Equities
- denominated in fiat
- produce value (goods / services), also denominated in fiat
- typically can pass inflation through to customers
- generally returns are in excess of GDP of country (obviously this varies dramatically depending on the equity; just think of S&P 500 here)
Gold
- limited supply
- store of value
- not a productive asset
- beats inflation over very long periods (eg: 50-100 years)
- can be volatile over short periods (eg: months to years)
Bitcoin
- limited supply
- store of value (?) - TBD
- could rapidly devalue / cease to exist (?) - TBD
- not a productive asset
- has been extremely volatile over very short periods
- cyclical
Trading
- can gain or lose independent of macro / geopolitical
- can be very lucrative
- can require more time for research and/or execusion
- not everyone is successful
Which do I do? All of the above. (Plus more.) It's all about asset allocation. Nobody has a crystal ball. Assign likelihoods to possible future scenarios and allocate assets appropriately.
Some people want to allocate so they hit a home run in one scenario (that they believe in) and they are willing to strike out in another (that they don't think will happen).
I prefer to allocate so that I'm going to do well no matter what... even if the truly unexpected (for me) happens, I'll still do well... and I do exceptionally well if my expectations come to pass.