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Jgill;
Well election years tend to be a bit bullish.Merry CHRISTMAS
200 day moving averqage is bearish on SPY most of past 12 mo;
except past 6 months its bullish /buy.
50 dma is a sell but really SPY could easily sell thru SEPT & be bullish last quarter [OCT NOV,DEC]
OCT is nicknamed ''bear killer''Cool time, leaves turn gold...
Thats my feelings/figures;
but frankly with half of year above 200dma , half below 200 . It could easily chop & slop sideways trend.I am looking for better trends & found them. Not a prediction