One big coincidink?!?

[stockpredictor]

I wonder if a system based purely on such co-incidences could work.

 

[LuckyMac]

sadly, I don’t think the market will crash off a non-event. COVID was your crash. Now we meander for a few more years, drifting up. Unless this up move continues it’s parabolic momentum it’s currently in. Look at a weekly chart of $SPX. Price is forming the convex curve within the right side of a circle. The faster prices go up = harder they crash (87’, 97’).

but no, sorry I don’t think the market will crash. Last month the SPX had the most volume it’s had since the Feb COVID crash, and it was bullish.

Agree, if it can withstand the COVID crisis i cant see much else effecting it long term

 

[.sigma]

Agree, if it can withstand the COVID crisis i cant see much else effecting it long term

if the market is booming during the worst pandemic of modernity, what could catalyst the next crash?

 

[gertruderoberts]

What do you gotta say with the COVID crash back again? Lucky it worked out well coz usually these co-incidences are a once or twice thing. Can’t depend on being lucky with them in each and every trade.

 

[cesfx]

if the market is booming during the worst pandemic of modernity, what could catalyst the next crash?

debt?

 

[.sigma]

debt?

What type of debt? I don’t think debt is a real thing. A real factor I mean. Debt is just the mathematical movement of money .. money is created out of debt. It’s like being short gamma and long theta. Idk, the world already knows the debt is unreachable, how could that cause a crash?

 

[cesfx]

A cycle, mostly public debt. Ray Dalio talks about it in new world order and market cycles write up.
Soon or later, when data will satisfy central banks, even interest rate should come back up, and with that we could see a correction.
It's true that we got adjusted to infinity supply of money, but things could change fast, even politically.

What type of debt? I don’t think debt is a real thing. A real factor I mean. Debt is just the mathematical movement of money .. money is created out of debt. It’s like being short gamma and long theta. Idk, the world already knows the debt is unreachable, how could that cause a crash?

 

[.sigma]

What do you gotta say with the COVID crash back again? Lucky it worked out well coz usually these co-incidences are a once or twice thing. Can’t depend on being lucky with them in each and every trade.

sorry but I have no clue what you said here

A cycle, mostly public debt. Ray Dalio talks about it in new world order and market cycles write up.
Soon or later, when data will satisfy central banks, even interest rate should come back up, and with that we could see a correction.
It's true that we got adjusted to infinity supply of money, but things could change fast, even politically.

yes Of course, interest rates rising would probably collapse a ton of agencies instantly. That’s why the Fed is selling that forever put. You say rates must rise, I say why? Lol

 

[cesfx]

My guess is that inflation could one day hit badly everywhere and that normally calls for hikes, or even a bond market crash.

 

[treeman]

What do you gotta say with the COVID crash back again? Lucky it worked out well coz usually these co-incidences are a once or twice thing. Can’t depend on being lucky with them in each and every trade.

The Covid "crash" was highly telegraphed - 1 month leading into it. Let's not make it out to be an exogenous event where there were no exits to be found.