Once Debt Ceiling is Lifted SPY Will...

Once Debt Ceiling is Lifted SPY Will Move...

  • +3%

    Votes: 51 43.6%

  • +2%

    Votes: 33 28.2%

  • +/-1%

    Votes: 13 11.1%

  • -2%

    Votes: 5 4.3%

  • -3%

    Votes: 15 12.8%
  • Total voters
    117
Quote from shortie:

i believe that the majority is more often wrong than not. it does not matter whether the majority is on ET or elsewhere.

***disclaimer: the above belief has not made me rich :)
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Same here -- I used to watch your polls thinking that the majority is wrong. Recently I find that the reverse is true.

I also used to think that the same daily pattern cannot persist, such as a 2:30pm - 4:00pm sell-off daily. Now I find that it can keep persisting.
 
Quote from noddyboy:

Same here -- I used to watch your polls thinking that the majority is wrong. Recently I find that the reverse is true.

I also used to think that the same daily pattern cannot persist, such as a 2:30pm - 4:00pm sell-off daily. Now I find that it can keep persisting.
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Why you do not make such remarks when you first notice them Noddy? You are really good!
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

After a couple's fight,

There is typically a happy date.

Tonight is the republican/dem fight!

Will tomorrow be the deal date?

T. J. Poet :cool:
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:)

i hope they won't make a very ugly child.


is anybody short volatility into the debt decision? what's your strategy/instrument of choice?

I have some VXX bear call spreads (Aug Expiration)
 
snapshot:
+3% 13 46.43%
+2% 8 28.57%
+/-1% 3 10.71%
-2% 2 7.14%
-3% 2 7.14%
Total: 28 votes 100%


regarding the question whether one could use ET poll to his advantage, what sort of bet would (or would not ) one place right here?

the majority goes for 3% and i think there is a good chance they are wrong.

any other takes on the poll? who believes the majority is correct? any good model predictions that match a particular vote?
 
once it is lifted, spy will not have a down day for the rest of eternity cos that's all that matters in the world and obama says so

Quote from shortie:

The level of anxiety that appears to have been built into this issue is quite high. What happens when the uncertainty is removed?
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The 'Debt Cieling' won't be lifted.

The markets are rallying on hope and faith.

We've learnt nothing from the last few years.

Human beings are idiots.
 
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